Follows the growth of negative GDP in the first quarter, says the Atlanta Fed indicator

Early economic data for the first quarter of 2025 points to negative growth, the Federal Reserve Bank of the Federal Reserve Bank.

Central Bank Gdpnow The coming sizes show that the gross domestic product has reduced 1.5% to the January-factory period of the PACE, and sent on Friday morning.

Fresh indicators showed that consumers showed less expenditure than expected during January and exports, which was reduced. The consumer was GDPNow, which shows the increase of 2.3% for the quarter of the consumer spending report on Friday.

Tracker changes in variable and usually a more reliable size in a quarter, and some other measures that show growth slowdown.

“This is a very high frequency stored by the Atlanta Fed,” Now “for the leadership of the President of the College of Mohammad El-Erigian, Allianz and Queens” in the post X. on social media website

Dauge was at a high level of GDP in early February, but was in the decline because of additional information.

Friday, The Trade Department reported In January, individual expenses decreased by 0.2%, lose the assessments of Dow Jones for an increase of 0.1%. Adjustable expenses for inflation fell by 0.5%. As a result, according to GDPNow, up to 3.3% compared to GDP, the expected contribution to GDP has made a complete conclusion.

At the same time, the contribution of the net exports was dropped from-0.41 percent to -3.7 percent points.

Affects data combination and growth worldview Surveys for reducing consumer confidence and are concerned about increasing inflation. The trade department also stated that inflation has fallen down in inflation for a month, because the main personal consumer expenditure price index decreased by 2.6% and 0.3 percent.

Week also brought some warnings from the labor market Preliminary unemployment claims Click on a level that is the last high in early October.

In addition, the bond market is also prices in slow growth. This week, the 3-month treasury product moved above 10 years of note, a Reliable indicator of a historical recession 12-18 monthly horizon.

Economic and policy uncertainty has led to a bumpy beginning For the stock market. The Dow Jones Industrial Avergation is 2% among wild fluctuations during a wild news period in 2025.

“My meaning is that it belongs to the violation of the company that falls on the active markets,” he said.

Markets are increasingly believing that the fed will respond to slow down this year by cutting down a lot of interest rate. Fed Foundations Funds The Fearers Market, the reduction of the quarterfinals of Friday afternoon, increased by about 80% on Friday afternoon, and this year has increased three such cuts this year.