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The United States and global economies will be significantly slow in the awakening of Donald Trump tariffs and uncertainty they created International Currency Fund He said on Tuesday.
The IMF, according to the world economic outlook, this year, this year, 2.8 percent of this year will increase by 2.8 percent of this year, the last world will increase by 3.3 percent, he said. In 2026, global growth will be three percent, and forecasts the previous 3.3 percent of the Fund.
The Foundation’s two largest economies, China and the United States are a total of 1.8 percent this year, this year, this year is a full percentage point in the 2024 width. IMF Does not expect the US recessionAlthough this year increased by 40 percent of one to 40 percent.
China is now projected to expand this year and the subsequent century, about half a point of previous predictions.
“We are a new round of economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas in the IMF.” This global economic system that works for the last eighty years is reconstructed. “
Predictions emphasize the extensive influence of both tariffs and the uncertainty they created. Every country in the world is affected, IMF, increased taxes in the growing taxes of the United States, raised an average of 25 percent in the United States at the highest level in the United States.
Predictions are in the expectations of a large number of private sector economists, although some are becoming more and more likely to fear a decline. Economists in JPMorgan say that the chances of the United States are now 60 percent. The federal reserve also predicted the weakening of growth to 1.7 percent this year.
The IMF is a 191 Native Credit Organization that works to promote economic growth and financial stability and reduce global poverty.
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Gourinchas said that increased uncertainty around import taxes, the IMF leads the IMF to take an unusual step to develop several different scenarios for future growth. Its forecasts ended on April 4 after the tariffs of tariffs in about 60 countries in about 60 countries in about 60 countries.
These tasks were stopped on April 9 in 90 days. Gourinchas said the break has not changed the IMF’s forecasts significantly because the United States and China have applied so many steep tariffs since then.
Trump management cars, steel and aluminum, as well as the import tax of 25 percent for the most goods from Canada and Mexico. White house, about 10 percent of all imports, although freed from smartphones and computers, the giant of goods was 145 percent. China has retaliated with US goods for 125 percent.
According to the IMF, the uncertainty, which covers the next movements of the Trump Administration, will probably be difficult to aggravate the United States and the global economy. The most sold goods are nourished for ready-made products, and tariffs can break the supply chains in the pandemic, warned the blog post.
“Companies looking at the indefinite market entrance are likely to break down, investment and cutting costs in the near future,” he said.
US tariffs are expected to hit less developed peoples, and the Mexican economy is expected to decrease by 0.3 percent this year, the previous projection is below 1.4 percent. South Africa is projected to increase only a percent this year, 1.5 percent projection in January.
Although the US economy is likely to supply, Gourincas is expected to decrease the autumn of China’s autumn in China as purchased by the United States.
Inflation will be likely to rise to about three percent by the end of this year, increasing by the end of this year, the IMF forecast.
In his blog post, Gourincas said, “Globalization has been compulsory transfer of many production workplace in globalization, and” there is a little indifference to these complaints, “he said.
But added that “the deeper force behind this decline is not globalization, but technological progress and automation.” Gourinchas saw that both Germany’s trade surplus and a shortage of US deficiency in the last decades that the factory remains relative to the factory exit in recent decades, which has led to a decline in automation production.
IMF expects tariffs to take a large part of China’s economy, but it also forecasts that additional costs of the Chinese government will be struck.
The European Union is predicted to grow more slowly, but the hit from tariffs is not large, because in part, it is lower than the United States. In addition, some of the tariffs will be replaced by more powerful public expenses from Germany.
The economies of 27 countries, which use the euro, forecasting 0.8 percent this year, 1.2% of next year decreased by the January forecast for the IMF only by 0.2 percent in the year.
Japan’s growth forecast forecast this year and after 0.6 percent, 0.5 percent and 0.2 percent in January 0.2 percent in January 0.2 percent.
On Tuesday, in a separate report, the IMF warned the “global financial stability risks has increased significantly.” Despite the last market route, where Trump tariffs took place, it also expressed its sensitive to further decreases.
“Some financial institutions in the volatile markets, ” Hedeft hedge funds and active management companies and active management companies and active management companies and active management companies, which will be forced to raise cash, they will have to raise cash.
–AP Economic writer Paul Wiseman contributed to this report.
