‘New Paradigm’: a broken Portuguese sounds in the corruption cloud re-elections

Lisbon, Portugal – Portugal calls for citizens to vote in three years in three years in three years, which went to the country’s political landscape and the country in front of a broken mandate after decades of decades.

This year, SNAP election, residential expenses, living expenses, the future of the future and immigration perceptions, the future of immigration perceptions, the people’s agenda are all important issues – because a corruption must be scandal.

The leader of the Social Democratic Party (PSD) Prime Minister Luis Montenegro government, fell in MarchParliament voted against the movement of trust in order to trigger the parliamentary elections. It is the second Portuguese government who left the office under the cloud of corruption.

Now 10 million voters of the country will have to choose the makeup of the next parliament, where 230 seats are caught and a divided mandate.

‘A very serious case’

Montenegro has led less than a year ago a year ago, less than a year ago on corruption, a consulting company called Spinumviva.

The potential conflict has received thousands of euros in the amount of thousands of euros per month from a line of media research, and companies with previously not disclosed customers, including government contracts.

In March, a controversial Montenegro on National Television was re-emerged again in National Television, insisted that he did not break his shares to his wife and sons next to the company In 2024 he became the Prime Minister.

However, the defense is controversial and specialists say.

“Although it is possible to sell shares to someone you are married, but still owned them, and therefore you can earn a profit from them,” Portuguese lawyer and political commentator Carmo Afonso. “Spinumviva is a very serious case – and the verses are still arising.”

A few weeks ago a few weeks ago, several weeks ago, a few weeks ago, the Socialist Party Pedro Nuno Santos, Montenegro, the National Online Transparency portal presented an updated statement.

According to the investigation of the Portuguese newspaper, some Spinumviva customers won at least 100 million euros ($ 112 million) in government contracts during Montenegro’s mandate. Montenegro says this is not related to Spinumviva since we were prime minister in March 2024.

How the race is formed

Again, Spinumviva’s attention cannot be damaged by Montenegro’s choice. According to Portuguese political scientist Vicente Valentim, “The perception of corruption in Portugal is traditionally high, but it may not be an important factor in voting.”

Despite the ongoing scandal, Montenegro leads the party (PSD), the party (PSD), and holds 34 percent voting.

According to a survey conducted by Lisbon Catholic University, one-third of the voters think that the SpinumViva work and potential legal violations are inappropriate in the elections.

The short term of Monteneground in the government, found it enjoyed the support of a professional classroom, riding the budget surplus of the Socialist Party (PS) Antonio CostaWho was the Prime Minister in 2015-2024.

Meanwhile, “Charismatic Antonio Costa lost the popularity of PS,” says Afonso. “Costa is a difficult move to watch.”

“Unfortunately, if Spinumviva is talking about how much it is, the better for Montenegro,” said Afonso, Montenegrin said that the government knows this about it well. “Montenegro has chosen to bring a voice confidently to parliament because it can’t be better to lose it because the elections can not be better – it is better for him.”

PS, on the contrary, gets about 26 percent of the announcement.

Currently, the majority of any of the parties or unions or alliances are very incredibly incredibly gaining the majority of 116 locations or more. It is likely to leave probable probabilities: either a majority coalition of parties in the union; Or, a minority government in need of the tacit support of other parties in parliament should be pushed through the necessary legislation, including budgets.

About 230 of about 230 seats are serious competitors for the rest of about 230. These include new parties, including traditional players as a greens-greens and a herbs and a national animal-animal party, as well as radical right-wing liberal (“Liberal initiative”) and extreme right Chega (“Enough”).

The rise of the far right

Chega, who opposed immigration, abortion and LGBTQ rights and targeting minorities as a significant Romanian population, was a surprising 50 parliamentary elections, Andre Ventura was the leader in the 2024 elections. 18 percent of national votes won.

The party is currently in the box in the box and is expected to win nearly what they do in the final elections.

Political scientist Valentim warns that the Chega’s support base represents a protest vote.

“Many people who voted for them are not to change the faster growth of the rapid growth of radical right-wing parties,” the rapid growth of the party, “said. “Thus, Chega does not mean that the number of votes lasting from 1 percent to 7 percent, 18 percent, in these rates, the number of right-wing ideas.”

What means saying, “He” has already used these ideas, but they have noticed that they are not accepted socially or professionally professionally. “

Now, with the campaign period, Chhea is to contact potential voters who will normally refuse. Surveys said Valentim said that the party could not make a big profit compared to the 2024 choice, he said he would stay here.

“Portugal has previously exceeded the European view because it has not been a prominent success on the right side; it is not the case.” “It’s not the way to disappear suddenly, as Chega appears, we can not be sure that Chega simply does not look for the disappearance. The political landscape has changed.”

And said that the results of this are a number.

“Citizens and politicians feel easier for the public to express extreme-right thoughts,” he said. “SPECIAL APPLICATIONS such as immigration and minority rights and, of course, the proper sympathy of the traditional center of the traditional center.”

Under Montenegro, PSD protected it, it will not cut a contract with Chega. However, the choices for the formation of the government are limited. According to Valentim, the central-right sides often try to repel the popularity of the new radical right parties by changing themselves, including partnership with them.

Rarely, in fact, he said he actually works for the center. “Electricity sharing contracts with extreme right, actually bring a long-term profit of these parties without bringing any long-term earnings for the center,” he said. “Studies result in the right to the right to be the right to be the best of the right, how much he received the sound from the right, no more votes or the center of the right to the center.

In recent years, this effect was also seen before the election campaign was launched in recent years in recent years. According to the Portuguese bank, a quarter of a quarter of Portuguese companies now used foreign workers. According to a study by Francisco Manuel Dos Santos Foundation in December, the number of immigrants in Portugal increased between 2015 and 2023.

However, right-wing parties, as well as immigration and especially India, Pakistan and Bangladesh also drew a decline in agriculture and shop workers. The FMS Foundation report showed that the negative perceptions of migrants have significantly increased the positive aspects – 67% of the people they sounded, they think that the existence of foreigners is associated with the increase in the crime. Last year, Chega brought a petition to the national referendum on immigration, but voted.

At the beginning of this month, the Montenegro government said 4,500 migrants said they would have to leave the country within 20 days. In 2024, after the standing closure of the Sarar Servand Agency, the Government canceled a scheme that once the European Union applied for the residence in the country once. Some of the applicants have been waiting for several years to meet their applications for several years and thousands are expected in the coming months.

These policies are seated in the opposite of a demographic situation in Portugal, the birth of a collapse, an elderly population and a decreasing productivity rate. In addition, the youth suffers from a sustainable trend of immigration – About 30% of the population between 15 and 39 live abroad, one of the world’s highest rates. A study conducted by Porto University from Porto University in December 2024, he said he had to provide 138,000 immigrants a year to guarantee economic growth over the next ten years.

Housing and expenses

In the meantime, an apartment crisis is the greatest issue in Portugal until the elections. Home prices increased by 106 percent compared to Francisco Manuel Dos Santos Foundation in Spain and 8 percent. Increased property value, property, property, assumptions about real estate, and large flows of foreign investment related to the tourism boom, caused great flows.

As a result, young people and experts can’t get an apartment in cities like Lisbon and Porto, where demolition rent also released small enterprises and left low-income tenants.

Rising housing prices, energy and food prices have also contributed to the total increase in growing living expenses. Factors such as war in Ukraine – this crisis has strengthened this crisis due to the influence of the global supply chain.

What’s next?

On Thursday, 20 percent of the voters, a number of results, a number of results, a number of minority government, the minority government, a coalition between minorities or various political players.

If this happens, it would be a second time in the majority of Portugal: the ad was won 80 places in 2024 in 230, which won 80 seats from the PS winning 78.

Valentine, this is no longer anomaly – this scenario will be repeated in the future elections.

“Portuguese democracy has said that this year has been reflected 50 years since the first full free election of Portugal The overthrow of the Estado Novo dictatorship. “For decades, there was a large number of difficulty changing, and between the center and the center and the center of the center and the right between the right PSD are a small number of interventions.”

“But now there have been many changes in a short time, and more new parties have taken parliamentary,” he said.

This was the main centrist parties of the new parties, PS and PSD, such as eating in Chega’s traditional bases, said less votes for PS and PSD.

“Now we are entering a new paradigm” said Valentine. “And it remains to see how these different political forces will balance.”