Russia’s war economy can take Moscow to the Negotiation Table

Russia showed a number of appetites for peace talks with Ukraine, and a number of attempts of war experts, and a number of US President Donald Trump’s attempts to convince Russian leader Vladimir Putin to speak to Kiev.

In fact, Moscow is widespread in Ukraine for broader the southern and eastern parts of the country in southern and eastern parts. If successful, the abusive can use Russia more in any future negotiations.

Russia is now not wanting to relieve peace, increase economic and military pressure in the house – the supply of military equipment and employment of soldiers such as oil-income exports, as soon as possible, can be factors leading to the Negotiation Desk of Negotiations.

“Russia will try to strengthen offensive operations to put pressure during negotiations, but” Jack Watling “,” Jack Watling “in the Royal United Services Institute (Russia) in London, the Main Scientific Coast Workmant for Land War, Tuesday, he said.

The Soviet era, including the Russian shares of military equipment between the tanks, artillery and pedestrian combat vehicles, will be depleted, that is, the ability to replace Russia’s loss will be completely dependent on what can do.

“At the same time, Russia can fight the employer with another two campaigns with the current approach, in 2026, it requires more compulsory operations, both politically and economically difficult.

CNBC contacted the Kremlin to respond to comments and is waiting for the answer.

Meanwhile, when Russia comes to the war-oriented economy of international sanctions, dark clouds, as well as even inflation and high food and production costs, even works in war Putin described as “exciting.”

The Central Bank of Russia (CBR) is the higher rate of interest rates in a proposal to reduce inflation rate (21%), 10.2% stood in April. The CBR is still required for inflation for inflation for inflation to inflation, but for inflation to return to the target of a disinfistance in May, but in 2026.

“A sharp deceleration in the growth of Russian GDP in the first quarter, in the first quarter, in the first quarter, the first quarter will have a header for a harsh landing, and the capital economy has fallen to the economy of the economy.

“GDP’s growth of GDP has surprised us this year, although we expected the slowdown,” The first half of the year “increased by 2.5% of GDP growth.”

The increase in the Russian economy is also increased by state spending, especially in defense sectors and relevant industries, especially in the defense sector and relevant industries and the capital expenditures in the European Policy Analysis Center.

“After a three-year incident, the Russian economy is cooling,” he said In online analysis for CEPAStating that inflation slowed down, the more borrowers and more borrowers by companies and consumers pointed to slow down all of the products and consumption costs.

Russian officials predict the economic growth with the Russian Ministry of Economic Development this year in 2024 this year.

“The economy does not hesitate; steam is not exhausted. He said that a drop can easily turn into a dive.

Thursday, Benchmark Brent Futures A barrel of $ 64.94 with the term of July, FrontMonth became a barrel in the United States West Texas Ara (WTI) Himself was $ 61.65. According to LSEG, the price of a barrel of a barrel of a barrel of a barrel, Russia’s fruit, 59.97 dollars.

In the early 2025, Brent, WTI and Urals traded between 75.13 and $ 70.04, 70.04.

Russia’s Ministry of Finance said in April This year earns 24% of oil and gasPreviously, compared to the assessment and reduced oil forecast for $ 69.7 to $ 56 to $ 56. The ministry also increased the estimates of 2025 budget deficits to 1.7% of GDP0.5% of the previous forecast.

The price of a lower oil will seriously restricts Russian revenues in the “time of exhausts”, “Russia’s analyst Watling celebrated.

“Russia has increased more aggressively against the shadow fleet and the continuation of the deep holiday campaign of Ukraine has so far offered massive bonuses for volunteers to increase Russian defense production and connecting to the military,” he said.

If the Western Modestic could protect and strengthen the Russian economy and Ukraine’s forces, Moscow will face harsh choices in the East, “Moscow prepare for the continuation of the war.”

“In this situation, the Russians can act in fact for the talks in Potemy’s talks,” he said.