How Trump can offer Iran

Unlock Watch Bulletin Free from White House

Trump’s second term Washington, your guide for what tools for business and world

The writer is the headlines consultant in chief institutions in the head partners, Emeritus and former US diplomat of the Foreign Relations Council

So far, the initiative in the last Middle East conflict has become all Israel. The Israeli government has decided to conduct a preventive attack on the nuclear threat from Iran, a choice. Israel violated the ability to kill a number of nuclear nuclear military and nuclear officials related to several nuclear nuclear nuclear nuclear nuclear and abolition of retribution attacks against Israel.

However, after a week, the Israeli war efforts can reach the limit: Israel cannot fulfill its two main purposes. Finishing Iran’s nuclear program in the near future requires the military opportunities for Israel. And the history of the region is that the regime in Iran, which causes the regime change and does not bring the desired result.

Therefore, what happened will depend on the other two main protests in this conflict – the United States and Iran.

The US policy is not eligible for today. Before Washington protested against Israel’s military activity, Washington demanded credit for this. He provided Israel with a weapon and helped protect him from revenge, but did not join the attacks of Israel. He ran in a diplomatic settlement, talks in five rounds with Iranian officials and then refused. Now President Donald Trump requires Iran to deliver unconditionally.

The Trump Administration is currently not attacking the U.S. fordow in Fordow, only Israel can penetrate with a large, heavy bunker-bombing bomb.

Here are some relevant dates. In the early 1990s, Bill Clinton’s management was sensitive to North Korea’s nuclear program and attacked when he was still in early stages. As a result, fearing that the United States could lead to a second Korean war, hundreds of South Korea and American cases intimidated. It was a decision understood, but came with an important long-term cost. Today, North Korea has dozens of nuclear weapons with intercontinental ballistic missiles to convey to the US mainland.

The negative side of the US attack on Iran is not comparable, Iran cannot do more than Israel. However, Iran can attack 40,000 US forces in the region. Tehran can also expand the war, recently elected to attack the Arab neighbors and attacking the Arab neighbors and attacking the Arab neighbors.

The American holiday in Fordow will also weaken the international norm against preventive military attacks, Russia, China and North Korea can choose to imitate. Reduces America’s ability to respond effectively on military calls in another place. The policies in Gaza will adapt to the policy of a deep popular Israeli Prime Minister and the policy of the occupied West Bank. And are convinced that the US attack will be successful if the success will be determined to destroy the remaining parts of Iran’s nuclear program.

However, living to survive is highly likely to be more likely to manage Iran to produce Iran’s nuclear weapons, but it is important to avoid Israel in the existing crisis.

Israel can only slow down, but it could not prevent this result. If a nuclear armed Iran appears, there is an existential threat to Israel and others. It would also be in a better position to support regional proxies. An Iranian nuclear weapon will also call on a number of other countries in the region, to watch the suit by putting the middle East dangerous hair trigger.

There is no easy choice without falling. Now the best course for Trump would give you the last chance to adopt a diplomatic agreement to Iran. Such a proposal requires Iran’s enrichment uranium, dismantled uranium and other known elements of the nuclear program and agree to open inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency.

In addition to economic sanctions, the threat of attacking the United States to Iran, the United States, a greater ceasefire and a non-weapons regional uranium enrichment consortium.

Iran can accept. After all, Ayatollah Ruhollah agreed to end the war in Iraq to save the 1979 revolution, which leads the Islamic Republic in 1988. Khomeini compared this decision to drink poison.

When continuing time, the Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the poison can also be forced to win.