Iran’s parliament has blocked the Strait of Hormuz

Iran can threaten the Strait of Hormuz, but experts told CNBC that this is the one to lose the most.

In the big action after hitting the US nuclear sites Sunday’s parliament of the country It was reported that neighbors and trade partners are confirmed to close the Strait of the Hormuz.

The decision to close the water, rests with the National Security Council of the country, and it removed the performance of higher energy prices and aggravated geopolitical tensions with Washington to prevent the throat closure.

Vandana Hari, the concepts of the founder of energy intelligence in Van, CNBC, “saidSquawk Box Asia“The probability of closing is” completely minimalist. “

If Iran blocks the strait, the country has turned neighboring oil countries into the enemy and is risking the risk of military operations with them.

In addition, a parcel also provoked the Chinese market, especially in Asia Iran is organizing the majority of oil exports.

“Therefore, very few things to achieve, and many things that Iran can do,” Hari said.

His idea is supported by Andrew Bishop, the global head of the head partner and global policy research.

Iran said he would not want to put a porcelain, the supply of disruption and the country’s own oil production, export infrastructure and the regime “will make a goal” to doubt the trigger-happy “.

In the Center for Strategic and International Studies, he said, for energy security and climate change, China, China, only dependent on Iranian oil flows

Therefore indicate no threats for commercial shipment passing the water path Joint Marine Information Center. “The United States-related ships went successfully without cutting the Strait of Hormuz, which is a positive sign for the near future.”

Hormuz Strait is the only sea way from the Persian Gulf to the Open Ocean, and about 20% of the world’s oil went to the waterway. The United States has an energy data management described Like “Choking the most important oil transit in the world.”

“Iran is less likely to be ‘all or nothing in the operations in Hormuz and surrounding and around, but instead of no sharp slip.” Said Signum Yeposu.

“The best strategy (for Iran) Rattle oil flow is insufficient to harm us with price movements above average, but the United States is not enough to react to oil production and export capacity,” he said.

Patrick de Haan, head of oil analysis in Gasbuddy, in a post in X in a post in the United States to $ 3,139 to $ 3,139 to $ 3.139 to $ 3.39 to $ 3.35.

If Iran decides to close the throat, it is likely to be partially blocked or more complete, the waterway will be used for a more complete solution, a strategist in David Roche, quantum strategy.

Celebrate Sunday, S & P Global Commodity Concepts He wrote that the closure of any of the throat is almost not affected by Iran, but also the Gulf Peoples such as Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Qatar.

This can produce more than 17 billion barrels of oil from global markets and will affect regional processing plants, causing feed shortages. The disorder in the supply will affect Asia, Europe, as well as North America.

In addition to oil, natural gas streams also said, “S & P said,” S & P said: “Qatari cannot go to the main markets in Asia and Europe, which is 77 million metric tons per year.

The LNG exports of the train represent about 20% of the global LNG supply.

“The average eastern oil and gas is limited to alternative supply routes, the potential potential potential potential of the pipeline is not enough to cut potential potential and red sea,” said S & P.

This Australian Association Bank “The restriction on the passage of the Strait of Hormuz” drew attention. Only 2.6 million barrels per day in Saudi Arabia and the UAE pipelines, the throat controls about 20 million barrels of oil and oil products a day.

All this is the highest risk for energy prices, Goldman Sachs assessed the price of $ 12 worth of price in a market geopolitical risk premium.

Oils passing through the throat will decrease by 50% over a month and then reduce 10% in the other 11 months, Brent is projected to “jump briefly” for about $ 110 to “jump.”

Brent Oil futures are currently on $ 78.95 per barrel West Texas Ara Futures traded $ 75.75.