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Is called The most critical oil drowning point in the world – And Iran occupies the government.
Washington’s holidays to Iran The fear that Iran could close the Strait of Hormuz flowed about 20 percent of oil and gas consumed in a global scale through water between Iran and Oman.
Oil prices puff On Monday, after the violation of Iran’s initial violation, the analysts warned that the analysts could violate the oil flow of the strategic marine access road to the Persian Gulf and The global economy has destroyedAt least temporary.
“It would be extremely dangerous,” the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Kaja Kallas told reporters on Monday.
If Tehran decides to break or close the throat, “It will be dangerous,” said the UK, the senior researcher in the Middle Eastern Security in the Institute of Royal United Services in London, England.
“(This) can trigger global economic shock waves and Iran is a meter against its interests,” Özçelik An online expression.
Clock | How can Iran destroy the global oil economy?
As Iran comes to stop Israel’s air attacks, there is another golden target. CBC’s total distribution of David can be used to be used to be used to destroy the world economy by violating the flow of strategic waterways.
Where is the Strait of Hormuz?
Hormuz Bosphorus escapes between Oman and Iran.
Throat connects the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman and the Sea of Arabia. It is only 33 kilometers wide in the narrow point, but is deep enough to manage the world’s largest crude oil tankers.
The shipping strip is three kilometers wide in both directions.
How much oil has passed through the throat?
One fifth of the world is five-fifths, through the throat, so it passes through the throat US Energy Information Management (EIA). Most of this oil goes to Asia. In 2024, China, India, Japan and South Korea were the highest directions of crude oil moving towards Asia, celebrating the EIA.
“If a large flower flowing from the Bosphorus, if it was closed, there are very few alternatives from oil from oil,” he said last week.
Oil passing through the Strait Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Iraq, Iraq, Iran, Kuwait and Bahrain, the main supply of liquefied natural gas comes from Qatar.
According to EIA, 20.2 million barrels of crude, condensate and fuels flowed last year.
EIA, most drowning points, using other routes that add significantly to transit times, some, like the throat of some, said that there are no practical alternatives.
“There are no alternatives to get the most volume in transit the throat,” he said.
What can be with oil prices?
Like EIA explainsThe oil transit to transit a large choke temporarily, “can create significant supply delays and shipping costs, increases world energy prices.”
The markets with a larger confidence that Iran can respond will be beyond, said Colby Connelly Washington, DC-based thinking tank Middle East Institute, one statement.
Sunday, Goldman Sachs Analysts Predicted Brent oil prices can hit a barrel of $ 110 if the strait of the throat is blocked. Other analysts said prices could be as high as $ 120-10 for a barrel (at least temporarily).
“Taking into account the importance of the sore throat in global oil trade, it would be very massive impact,” Homayoun Falakshahi, Global Trade Information Company KPLER high oil analyst KPler Online video statement. “I’m sure we will see a three-digit figure.”
However, the closure of the throat will be a recent vehicle for Iran, added that Falakshahi added.
Will Iran really close it?
The Iranian parliament has approved a measure to close the Strait on Sunday on Sunday.
Iran threatened to close the throat in the past, but did not do it. To do this, reduce its oil exports and trade partners would damage the relations with Arab neighbors who export Chinese and its oil.
Suzanne Maloney, Vice President of the Institute of Brookings and the Director of Foreign Policy, the voting voted by the Iranian parliament voted “purely symbolic” votes.
“Such a step later, the economy associated with him would threaten the brooked, but in the Brooking website,” said the economy and the Saudi Arabia and other Arab countries. “
On Sunday, the US Secretary of State Marco Rubio called for China to connect Iran’s Strait of Iran, China to relate to Iranian oil.
“If these do, they are an economic suicide for them,” Rubio said.
What could Iran do?
Iran, rapid attacks and thousands of sea mine, as well as this has been the missiles that can use the throat in the impassable of the throat Associated Press.
The Iranian main base in Bandar Abbas is on the northern coast of the throat. In addition, allies, Yemen’s houthi rebels, as they do at the Red Sea, can also fire missiles from the coast of the Long Persian Gulf.
On Monday, Ship rifle data moved away from several tankers Although some of the throat and some return again, Reuters returned according to reuters.
With, with The Middle East Institute, the US strike, adding more volatility to a situation that threatens oil and gas supply, “only one potential point to a violation of energy.”
The Strait of Hormuz will be understood and fall under the microscope, “he said.
“However, an increasingly variable situation can lead to unexpected violations around the critical export infrastructure in the region, and whether they are intentionally or otherwise.”
Clock | The regime change is not an option, the analyst says:
Former US official official Richard Haas, President Donald Trump said that the US was not blessed by the US regime change. Haas can be a live strategy and invite you to take more revenge than the Middle Eastern nation.
