After the reconciliation of Trump’s history Iran-Israel, ceasefire really brings peace?


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President Donald Trump The brokerage between the historical ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran on Monday, pointed out with a dramatic break in the most important military confrontation between the two enemies.

On Monday evening, after 12 hours, he came into force after a chart to allow the last military maneuvers on both sides. But an obstacle Iranian rocket After the fire, many Israelites asked if the peace was broken.

In an interview with Fox News Digital, the Executive Director of the City War Institute John Spencer said Delayed application not unusual. “It’s hard to turn things off in a key. You have a plane in the flight. You have forces in position,” he said.

Trump brokers say the Iranian ceasefire, the regime’s arsenal is the part of the arsenal, but it is dangerous

President Trump

President Donald Trump, on June 24, 2025, Washington talks to journalists in the South Lawn of the South African Southern Southern Southern Southern Southern Ceasefire (AP Photo / Evan Vucci)

Spencer described the US operation as a history.

“History is the fact that the United States has a limited operation on its nuclear targets with zero losses – has no equipment, and only America can be in America. The nuclear spread was a non-political victory.” Iran added that the US base was in Qatar. “

Despite the violence of the announcement, Spencer believes that Spencer will hold a ceasefire, including the death of four civilians in Israel. “Both countries intend to do it now,” he said. “And yes, President Trump is very atypical when communicating in ceasefire … with ‘Do not throw a bomb.’

To understand how such ceasefires are, spencer, delayed activation, staged targets and five historical precedents mentioned in the last window for military accommodation.

IDF fighter jet

Israeli fighter Jet began to launch air attacks against Houthis in Yemen. (IDF)

Korean War Armistice (1953)

The armed, which was signed on July 27, 1953, was established in a 12-hour delay in the event of an armed and entered into force. “This has allowed the latest military actions before a synchronized stop,” Spencer said, a model that is closely reflected in the Israeli-Iran ceasefire.

A tour group visits the Korean War Memorial Warehouse in Washington, Washington, November 11, 2009. (AP Photo / Jacqelyn Martin) ** Closed Photo **

A tour group visits Korean War War on Vetonan, DC in Washington

Yom Kippur War Ceasefire (1973)

Sharon and Stop

Then the Israeli Defense Minister, General Moshe Dajan, then General-Mayor Ariel Sharon, on October 18, 1973, the Suez Canal was left on the Egyptian side of the Suez Canal during the 4th Israel-Arab War. (UPI / Image Alliance via Getty Images

Spencer noted that in 1973, Israel used the Booker’s broker brokeric ceasefire before the forces before the forces. “Israel moved a bunch of recent hours … moving the third army moving in Suez City, surround the third army by referring to his work in Suez City war.

Trump history The ceasefire agreement of Iran and Israel ended the ’12 Day War ‘

Dayton Accords (1995)

On Sunday, March 20, 2016, a Bosnian woman, Srebrenica, Bosnia, Bosnia and Herzegovina visits the grave rags in Potocari, near Bosnia and Herzegovina. Bosnian Serbian Leader Radovan Karadzic, March 24, 2016, March 24, 2016, the Prosecutor of the War Crimes of the War Crimes, including the Genocide accused of participating in the war, 2992-95 was killed in prison in prison for 11 counties. (AP Photo / Amel Emricia)

The Bosnian woman waves between the grave stones in Srebrenica, Srebrenica, Bosnia and Herzegovina in Potokari on March 20, 2016. (AP Photo / Amel Emricia)

Finishing the Bosnian War, established a gradual schedule for the US-Brokerian Dayton Peace Chords, withdrawal and political contracts. “This was in more than one country, which many countries agreed to do and not to do or not,” Spencer said, which was followed by the Israel-Iran ceasefire.

Israeli-homas fire (2014)

2014 Israeli-Hamas War

After Gaza, the smoke in the northeastern city of Gaza reached the target of August 21, 2014 after Gaza. (Roberto Schmidt / AFP via Getty Image)

Spencer also draws parallel to the 2014 war in Gaza. “Hamas would say: Okay, we want a ceasefire … The next time he will be a ceasefire,” he said. Many of these agreements were 12-72 hours of activation similar to the work done with Iran.

Ukrainian-Russian ceasefire proposals

Military

Military of Ukraine’s 93rd Mechanized Brigade Brigade, May 22, 2024, May 22, 2024, the French MO-12 RT city of Russian forces near the city of Donetsk, Ukraine. (IRYNA RYBAKOVO VERY)

The ceasefire was often short and symbolic during the recent Russia-Ukrainian war. “Putin said,” I want three days, I can do my paradise, “Spencer stressed how temporary standards can serve both strategic and political needs.

Although the former ceasefuses are designed for slow growth, Spencer sees it as part of a more extensive doctrine. “To help Israel in a way, it must be opaque,” he said. “To make a very limited operation for the United States, without dying American life … This is unique.”

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Rescuers, Iran, Iran, on June 13, 2025, in Iran, in Tehran, they work at the blast after a Israeli holiday.

Rescuers, Iran, Iran, on June 13, 2025, in Iran, in Tehran, they work at the blast after a Israeli holiday. (Through the Iran Red Crescent Society AP)

Spencer described the ceasefire as “a landing” for both sides. “The ceasefire means that both sides stop the shooting of each other. This does not mean that the death of the death to America and death To Israel‘”he said.” However, the operations and hostilities stopped. “

Despite the lack of official conditions or international security work, the Spencer believes that the contract has created a new precedent. “It set up a new doctrine,” he said, the Israeli’s ability to judge the skies of Iran and the ability to react to the nuclear spread. “If Iran decides to reset some sites in one place, threats will be more gifts than ever.”

Spencer, “This is a victory. When red lines are really red lines, they are effective in preventing.”



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