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Economists, market viewers and consumers are also trying to understand the effects of President Donald Trump’s announcement on Wednesday Sweeping new tariffs.
Trump’s “enrichment of America” is equal to the fact that all US trading partners, as well as the US trade partners, as well as 50% of the US trade deficit. For example, import from China, South Korea and Japan, for example, 34%, 25% and 24% tariffs, respectively 34% and 24% of tariffs. The products of the European Union will come with 20% Levy.
Investors’ reaction was rapidly. S & P 500 – A lawyer for a wide US exchange – 4.8% of Thursday session completed and now sites more Below 12% of February.
General concern of market viewers: economic confusion. Other countries can become a trading war of a growing conflict by increasing their duties, increasing their duties may slow global economic growth.
Tariffs were collected from import companies, economic experts, at least part of US-based companies using foreign goods, along with customers, and the inflation will change inflation.
This is what the economists and market specialists say what they expect.
Wait for inflation but not necessarily recession
Tariffs must remain in recent levels, and the average US increase in all imports will rise to 18.8%, and in 2024 to 2.5%, According to the tax fund’s assessments.
However, as US enterprises face higher expenses, it does not mean compound costs for consumers.
Consumers feel all the oppression of growth, especially in the financial extent of the customers of enterprises, Jeffrey Roach, LPPL finance chief economist, Recently said CNBC said that.
“Inside a weakening economy In general, consumers will be very sensitive to the price changes, “he said.
Again, wait for some prices to increase – at least in the near future.
“Higher tariffs will likely lead to 3% in inflation from 3% to 5% over the next year, and the United States will be more than a midfielder,” said Comerica Bank’s Chief Economist Bill Adams. With inflation Sit more than 2.8% since currentlyThe increase in 2 percent this year is almost this year (4.8%), the increase of 1 point next year, he said in a low end.
Rahgulu in inflation may emphasize the economy, and other economists believe that there is still a place for growth with some headers.
“During the next 12 months, a recession will expand in 2025 and 2026, in 2026, because in 2026, it is likely that the economy’s tax revenues will use the partial fund from tax revenues partially from the Fund,” Adams “.
Wait for the shorter market to be shaken
An old wall street truism says he hated anything other than the uncertainty of markets. Although investors get the responses of which tariffs for which tariffs will be installed, large questions can develop, including the higher tariffs of other countries, including the higher tariffs.
Dust, “Markets,” Markets will be a kind of corpse, “the head of the investment strategy in Global X says Scott Helfstein.
Among the questions, investors will still be looking for answers: will tariffs stay in the current levels on the spot. Some market experts do not think so.
“We would expect tariffs to reduce the presidential levels,” Mark Hafele, UBS, UBS GLOBAL Wealth Management, and the Treasury Secretary (SCOTT) said, and the Treasury Bessent, the “High end of the number of tariffs, said that these countries can take steps to land.”
But don’t expect significantly to shrink. If the Trump Course could be reverse or had a spoken tactic, the US Trading Secretary Howard Lutnick was strong in denying. “I don’t think there is no chance” He said in a CNN meeting. “This is the ranking of global trade, isn’t it? This will happen.”
Some trading partners may not be kind to this tactic, and some have already responded to their tariff measures. China and the EU, for example, Economic countermeasures have already been announced.
In general, the economy, including fundamental power signs, began the Tariff announcement Sustainable work market and encouraging Corporate gainHelfstein says.
Things that work in a short time, the topics expected to grow on the market for a long time – as a profit of AI and automation – remain intact. Investors can only be forced to wait when companies are sorted by tariff work strategies.
“These trends will continue – only perhaps a little different.”
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