Cloud quantum computing: A trillion-dollar opportunity with dangerous hidden risks

Quantum Computing (QC) is brought with groundbreaking opportunities and significant risks. As large technological players Ibm, Google, Microsoft and Amazon Trade QC Cloud services have already released, companies that specialize as Quantinuum and PsiqueMantum have quickly reached the unicorn status. Experts predict that the global QC market can add more $ 1 trillion Between 2025 and 2035 to the world economy. However, can we say that considerations are superior to risks?

On the one hand, these advanced systems, discovery of drugs, climate modeling, EU and maybe even Artificial general exploration (Agi) development. On the other hand, for several years so far, there have been a full-wheel quantum computers that have been in today’s encryption standards, but also provide serious cybersalutur problems that have to be resolved.

Understand the scenery of qc

The fear of the main cybersecurity is connected to QC, the potential to break the incredible encryption algorithms. One questionnaire 78% of US companies and 60% of US companies and 60% of Canadian companies believe that these quantum computers will be capitalized and 60% of Canadian respondents, 60% of the cryprices will be a matter of time before starting the QC to violate current security measures.

Modern encryption methods are very relying on mathematical issues that are almost unruly unresolved by classical computers for a minor computers. For example, it would buy such a computer around the factoring of the great basic numbers used in RSA encryption 300 trillion years. However, with Shor’s algorithm (developed in 1994, the factor of quantum computers quickly), a strong enough quantum computer can solve this faster than exponent.

Groverin algorithm designed for unstructured searches, when it comes to symmetric encryption methods, is a real game changer when it is effectively reduced in half in half. For example, the AES-128 encryption is only a 64-bit system, leaving the level of safety in the same level, quantum attacks. This situation calls for more healthy encryption standards, such as AES-256, such as AES-256, can stand firm against potential quantum threats In the near future.

Came now, encrypted later

Most are “Stack the product now, then decipher” (HNDL) Today, the attack strategy, which includes enemies who collect encrypted data encrypted data, only QC technology is sufficiently developed. Creates a significant risk for health notes, financial information, classified government documents and long-term value as military intelligence.

Given the potential terrible results of Hndl attacks, Many organizations “Crypto agility” responsible for vital systems in the world must accept. This means that when new weaknesses are on the light, cryptographic algorithms and applications must be ready to change rapidly. This concern is also reflected in the US National Security Memorandum You can reduce risks for sensitive cryptographic systems, about promoting US leadership in quantum calculationThose who specify this danger specifically and take active measures to make.

Threatening schedule

When it comes to predicting the schedule for Quantum threats, expert reviews are on the map. One Last Report The Miter shows that we will not see a quantum computer used to compare the quality of a computer and various quantum computers to convey the RSA-2048 encryption of RSA-2048 to the current trends of Quantum volume.

At the same time, some experts feel more optimistic. They believe that the last Ridvah and algorithm in the quantum error can accelerate everything that allows quantum to decipher in early 2035. For example, researchers released Jaime Sevilla and Jess Riedel a report In the late 2020, 90% confidence in the RSA-2048 could be sheds before 2060.

Although the exact schedule is still in the air, something is clear: experts accept that the quantum threat should be necessary immediately, regardless of the future.

Quantum Machine Learning – the last black box?

Cryptovernment of today’s organizations, security researchers and futurists They have been disturbed About an inevitable future for a combination of AI and QS. Quantum technology has super boot potential AI Development Because complex calculations can handle lightning speed. This can play a decisive role in reaching AGI, because today’s AI systems need the trillions of trillions with a slightly serious calculation barrier. However, this synergy opens the possible scenarios that can be predictions.

You do not need AGI to understand the nature of the problem. Consider if the quantum calculation machine learning (ML) should be combined. We could look after the experts calling the last black box problem. Deep neural networks (DNNS) are very opaque, and even with hidden sheets, they even fight to comment on their creators. Tools to understand how the classic neural networks are available, Quantum ML would lead to a more confusing situation.

The root of the issue is to use the information on the use of the most of the QC, ie the use of the most high quality, closure and interference on non-classic equivalent roads. When these quantum features apply to ML algorithms, the models that emerge can cover the processes that are difficult to become thoughtful to understand people. This is a clear concern for vital areas such as health, finance and autonomous systems such as health, finance and autonomous systems, which are important for the safety and compatibility of AI decisions.

Will quantum cryptas be enough?

The US National Institute of National Standards and Technology (NIST) to solve the rising threats of QC (NIST) Quantum Crypto Standardization The project returned in 2016. This is a comprehensive review of 69 candidate algorithms from cryptographers all over the world. After completing the point of view, NIST chose several promising methods that rely on the functions of the structure and hash. These are both mathematical problems that can endure attacks from both classic and quantum computers.

In 2024, NIST detailed post-quantum spread Cryptographic standardsAnd large technological companies have taken steps to implement early protection since today. For example, Apple, App3 – Quantum-quantum protocol – for its camera platform, is aimed at protecting against advanced quantum attacks. In a similar note, Google has experienced with quantum quantum algorithms since 2016 and compensates them thin to various services.

Meanwhile, Microsoft tries to move forward in increasing a significant leap in the reliability of QC and increasing the quantum environment without disturbing the quantum environment. For example, the company announced this in this year “The state of the new item” “Topological quit”, not decades, not decades, but “Topological Quit”, which can cause the full implementation of QCs over the years, DB.

Basic transition problems

Again, the sliding head for quantum cryptist comes with many problems:

• Execution period: US officials predict that it can take any place 10-15 years Distribute new cryptographic standards between all systems. It is especially difficult for equipment in difficult places such as satellites, vehicles and cash boots.
• Performance Effects: The post-quantum encryption usually requires Larger basic dimensions More complex mathematical operations that are both encrypted and slowing encryption processes.
• One Deficiency of technical expertise. Quantum Sustainable Crypto The organizations need to successfully integrate existing systems need highly qualified IT specialists who know good in both classic and quantum concepts.
• Weakness discovery: Even the most promising post-quantum algorithms may have hidden weaknesses, As we have seen Nist with selected crystals-kyber algorithm.
• Concerns related to the supply chain: Cryochoolers and specialized lasers can be affected by quantum components, geopolitical voltage and supply violations.

The latter, but of course, it will be very important in the quantum period to be technological savvy. As companies are hurried to adopt quantum crypto, it is important that the encryption is just clicking on the harmful connections, opening suspicious email additives or accessing information.

The last sample found that Microsoft found two applications without knowing the private encryption keys – if the main mathematics has neutralized the human error. The applied errors are often compromised on the systems that are theoretically valid.

Getting ready for the future of quantum

Organizations must take several important steps to prepare difficulties in posing with quantum security threats. Here are what they need to do, with very wide conditions:

• Have a cryptographic inventory – take reserves of all systems that can be used by encryption and risk from quantum attacks.
• Evaluate the life of the information – understand which information needs long-term protection and prioritizing these systems.
• Develop migration schedules – Set up realistic tables for quantum cryptoes among all systems.
• Make sure the appropriate sources are – quantum Sustainable security measures make sure to budget for significant expenses.
• Increase monitoring capabilities – place systems to find potential Hndl attacks.

Michele Mosca came with a theorem To help organizations plan for Quantum security: If the X (time information needed to remain reliable) plus Y (time necessary to increase cryptographic systems) is larger (quantum computers are up to current encryption), organizations should take action immediately.

Opinion

We are entering a period of quantum calculations that bring some serious cybersemant problems, and we must all move fast, even if these difficulties will be completely sure. There may be decades before seeing quantum computers that can break the current encryption, but the risks of inactivity are simply very large.

Vivek wadhwa Foreign policy magazine clearly puts: “The world does not recreate in the EU – thus serving raw technologies, raw technologies in the masquerade, there is a stronger development technology that has a stronger potential.”

In order to prevent this technological wave, organizations should start implementing post-quantum cryptoes, pay attention to the controversial quantum programs and a safe quantum supply chain. Now it is very important to prepare – Quantum computers suddenly are completely obsolete in current security measures.

Julius Černiauskas CEO Oceansillibs.