Donald Trump’s ‘Freedom Day’ tariffs drag us with the recession?

Donald Trump’s “Freedom Day” tariffs presents a strong risk for a US economy, which has already lost rapid aggression, economists, the risk of increased recession of household prices and presidential ads.

10 percent of a starting task combination of 10 percent with double-digit top-up tariffs, including Chinese and EU, has a large number of imports, business investment and high inflation and weak growth risk are analytics, he said.

Fitch Ratings Olu Sonola, a head of US economic research, said that 22 percent in all imports, 22 percent, 22 percent last year, last year since 1910, he said. In the fourth quarter of this year, the United States would be in the fourth quarter of this year.

Simon French, Chief Economist, Panmure Liberum, said: “The chances of the US decline in the next 12 months are higher than the financial as a result of decisions last night.”

Trump inherited an expanding economy with the Sofa Street, I expected the growth of his critical and tax cutting agenda. Instead, expectations were a sharp turn for the presidential investment decisions to approach the President’s Trade Policy.

After the announcement of Trump’s tariffs, the dollar fell by 1.7 percent compared to the currencies of the trade partner in early 2011, in early European prospects for European time.

The economic impact on the United States has responded how much the package has taken place and how quickly the package is converted to the combination of the US monetary policy and decreased growth.

Tariffs TS Lombard was in consultation Steven Blitz, said, “The mild paintfationar is the incident, but the recession is the turn of the decline.”

Predictions warned that the US economy Trump’s new tariffs would perform through a number of channels. Companies will not exceed 100 percent of additional costs, US consumers will not be able to escape tariffs. During the recent trade war of Trump, 60 percent of 20 percent of 20 percent of the temporary 20 percent were given to consumers calculated in the imported washing machines, consumers and analysts.

James Knightley, in the United States, estimated that it could add an additional $ 1350 to any American, depending on the transitional level by enterprises from the Trump package to the consumers of the Trump.

Marc Giannoni, an economist in Barclays, said that the long-awaited reciprocal tariff announcement of the US President has increased by 23 percent. As a result, Core (consumption prices) will increase inflation 4 percent this year, the decline in real GDP and the unemployment rate will increase. ”

0.1% of the US economy a year by 0.1% in the last three months of 2025 “compliance with the decline” and the unemployment rate will increase 4.6 percent in the fourth quarter.

Economist Paul Donovan, who was in Ubs, said: If there is no retreat, the markets will assess the decline of the United States. If withdrawal, the markets will weaken us. “

Federal Reserve 2 percent of the Central Bank with inflation with inflation, inflation expectations are difficult to keep the price increase in price increase in price. Fed, this should do this when looking at the calls for slow growth resulting from the worst trade war.

Taking into account the change in Trump’s trade policy, the confidence has already suffered and uncertainty will continue to be dragged in the investment during the negotiations with US partners.

Forecasts prepared in March in March, US business investment, this year will increase by 1.9 percent this year, lasted by 1.5 percent this year and projected until January.

US trading partners will damage the prospects of revenge by American exporters, and analysts, the analysts and GDP further criminated. Trump’nın announcements will be sold in capital markets and will make a more sense in the coming days.

“Tariffs temporarily increase import prices, reducing the policy rates of the federal reserves, increase financial terms and increase financial terms and revenge on American exports,” said BCA research

Forecasts have reduced our expectations to increase the expectations between organizations that cut GDP growth forecasts and starting higher inflation.

Atlanta Fed, GDPnow Tracker, increased by 1.4 percent in the first quarter, in the first quarter, in the first quarter, included the impact of large flow of large gold.

Feelings between households have also expanded. The Conference Board Consumer Trust Index has been in March 92.9, since 2021, some pandemic restrictions were still in place.

The index of consumers in March 80 below 80 below 80, based on the short-term worldview of consumers’ income, business and labor market conditions, in March 80.

Now a question is that the trump will be removed to be removed from the lace or is to be reduced in tax discounts or is used to reduce the economy or the economy of the economy, said that the capital economy is a chief economist.

If it is used to pay a budget deficit, then the United States economy “be lucky to avoid a decline” he said. “If consumers with other tax crossings are returned, economic growth cannot suffer very badly.”

However, the impact of tariffs will be very much depend on the “mutual partners” element of tariffs, such as traditional partners, such as the EU, and to return the “mutual partners” element or by calling.

The 10 percent tariff from Canina and Mexico since April 5, referring to bilateral trade shortcomings, the additional tariff, which is the last component in the final component, shows that the economy is a place for negotiations.

Now the United States said they encountered falling sediment, rising unemployment, inflation and stressful financial markets, inflation and financial markets. ” “If the main question, if there is a lot of economic pain, will Donald Trump be inverted?”