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ECB is expected to reduce ratios in April and June because tariffs threatened by decline


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ECB, next week and in June, the investors and economists are likely to reduce debt expenses so far, because Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs pour the block.

On April 2, Trump’s Freedom Day Tariffs, in connection with the end of the “Freedom Day” tariff announcements in late 70 percent, interest rates compared to the rate of 90 percent compared to the rate of 90 percent.

In April, the seventh consistent decrease and other others in June, the other, the other said, “said, Pictet Wealth Management Director Frederick Ducrozet said that he would be” a disaster “.

He said that the main question is that Outlook would be so terrible that the ECB will be forced to stimulate the economy or pass to larger cuts to offer liquidity supports.

Governor of the Central Bank of Greece Yannis Stournaras – Another 26 people who voted in the ECB Management Assembly warned interview The Kuning Trade War will reduce the currency block to a large “negative demanding shock” that creates significant deflation pressures.

Global Capital Markets, for the third day of running on Monday, the price of oil was strengthened during the four years, while reflecting the global recession concerns, the euro was strengthened.

“Growth suddenly has a major problem in the world, which includes Europe,” said Mahmud Pradhan, the President of the Global Macro in the Macro of Amundi Active Activities. “This will prefer inflation concerns, which is more in the United States. This indicates politics in Europe.”

The new sentiment notes a sharp change from the Hawk expectations after cutting the ECB’s quarter rate.

At that time, the ratios in Frankfurt stressed whether a monetary policy is “less restrictive” in April.

However, Trump’s tariff announcement, outlook and riving markets. The US 20 percent of the US 20 percent of the EU tariffs, Trump’ın full four-year period, 750 billion euros can cause economic damage to the euro area, he said.

Many analysts warned that the hit of the Euro regional increase in the vibrating trade war will be more than any inflation threat.

“The slowdown in the real economy, energy prices and more powerful euro should help accelerate disinflyation in Europe,” said Gilles Moëc, AXA investment managers in investment managers

Economists can be able to produce Chinese manufacturers, which faces higher import duties, and instead of disinfacing shock.

In particular, in a month forecast, Barclays economists have predicted the percentage rates in October to 1.5 percent to 1.25 percent and return to non-traditional monetary policy measures in the second half.

The Barclays forecast would be a decline in the second quarter, which will last until the end of 2025.

Inflation in the eurozone fell to 2.2 percent annually near the medium-term target of the ECB, but the Bank of England competed with environmental inflation.

In the UK, consumer prices increased by 2.8 percent per annum in February. The increase in wages, despite the weak state of the British economy, lasted until January 5.9 percent in three months.

But economists are still waiting for the same forces to be predicted for driving in England ECB To reduce the vacations next week, merchants mean another quarterly BOE rate in the next policy announcement on May 8.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves warned that although the UK managed to strike a trade agreement with Trump, the British trade war will be aggravated by more global slowdown.

To date the British so far to date can not be revenge so far, reduce inflation effects of trade military operations.

“If there is something, it rose to lower the line as the economic growth is cold and the threat of other great global producers,” he said. “We expect the Bank to continue the rates of cutting once in a quarter for the rest of this year.”

Financial markets are a full price in reducing a BOE rate at the next level of policy in the current level. In general, they earn more than three intersections this year.

Last month, Andrew Bailey, Boe Governor, warned the risks of England facing England as a result of US tariffs. The direct impact on inflation was “uncertain”, the Committee of MPs, but “Risks in the British economy – and really world economy – are reasonable.”

“The UK will not be unusable because it is exposed to more than EU – the stroke of the global economy will be most affected by England,” Pradhan said.

Information visualization by Janina Conboye



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