Europe is only half-awake than a long sleep

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He touches to remember the innocence of the summer now. In 2024, when England chooses the Labor government, optimists have been in a distant past for the country. Emmanuel had budget issues in Macron, France and Germany decayTherefore, England hit them as a relative shelter. (It was as if there were three countries to join the earth. (Soon a bond market rebellion was followed.) “The British returns and wants a piece of the world” headings aged as milk.

The bull, really. Now British came out shrink in January. This is the law on the rules of the government and the rules about employers before the government’s tax growth. As always, intelligent people allow the conservative to be humble on an amazing naivety about rivals. Britain’s problems will not be significant, except for the fact that Europe in the miniature of Europe, so it is not enough defense costs, at least without public support.

It is possible that we must do this opinion that the UN-Pressifior official was said during the Balkan crises in the 1990s: “This is the European time.” Victory note, Donald Trump’s betrayal Donald Trump, who is a betrayal of the continent, prove that it was an adjustment. This is based – what?

Germany is serious. The bundestag voting This week to get unlimited debt theoretically. However, in elictive defense obligations are dangerous. Spain will not cut the Prime Minister “Single Cent” Social expenses. Labor fights the internal competence on the benefit reforms that will not save £ 5 billion a year by the end of the decade. The best to punish citizens for the defense is the best unobstructed unless the best to punish personal consumption or wellbeing. If the people agree, a historic turning point is just a historical turning point.

The financial question is not even the most difficult faces. A consensus for more defensive costs, really worth it without consensus to apply power. There is nothing. Downing Street Leaters A “Significant number” Countries that want to send troops to Ukraine. Which countries? How many soldiers each? Based on what engagement rules? If Russia does not accept NATO troops from NATO countries, will Europe insist on whether there is a NATO capacity? In addition to these questions, which are years to respond to the continent, the financial issue is a walk.

I wonder if these months have become a continental policy of north-South Split, not as soon as Europe. Giorgia Meloni, which is Ukraine for an Italian populist, dismiss The idea of ​​sending the soldiers of the nation there. Spain wants defense costs to include defense costs to cyber and climate, because Russia will hardly bring to its own “Troops Pyrneese“. (Or in the channel, I amazing, but England still burns the strong power of Europe. Strange, what nations are public What is the present-time and not.)

It is better to call Europe more than 340 people, but it is good to speak as a small share of this population of Southern Europe, as a wide range of military power. Bar Poland, the continent, which spends the most profitable share of the most profit, is among the smallest. Even if Germany has joined them in time, the European potential workforce begins to look less awesome without the Mediterranean. This decides that Berlin has carried many historical loads in the eastern troops and does not recover with the prospects of Berlin.

This month, a graphic from analysts S & P Global Ratings My way came and confirmed the cynicism in me. X axis is the distance from the capital from Moscow in kilometers. Y Reading, his defense costs are like the share of national speech. With some exceptions – well-designed Greece – between two, Europe have a reverse connection with the well-protected south, and 2 percent of GDP is in the northeast of the northeast, which is above the NATO sign. What combinations of this problem are appropriate populations. Portugal, one of the lowest spending, has more people than all three Baltic countries. Spain is greater than Poland. Threatening perceptions and defense contributions change the side of the 45th parallel (approximately) to the 45th parallel will be important.

Looking for hope, even looking for a false hope. Optimism is a very important feature to exist because all yards of literature will not be selected by evolution. But there is optimism, then turns into hidden controversy to deny the reality. The American version of this, the durable attribute of the Trump’s reflex and Mumble (“One” (“One”) Reverse Nixon“).

European version? Combined and a serious continent in a premature continent: It is better for the unusual creation of the US President. We do not know that European citizens are ready to refuse to discipline. We know which ones will carry these goals. Until these changes, the metaphor of a giant, mixes a very long dream defective way. The continent is half-awake, hopes to ignore the alarm with Reva in their eyes, perhaps the alarm.

Janan.ganesh@ft.com