Fed has a single, mysterious catch, which predicts stronger economic growth, including Grimmer Outlook

• In the board, the forecasts of the Federal Reserve authorities The US economy has decisived in the final report by summarizing expectations. GDP growth is slow and expected to increase inflation for an official, an official, increased by 2.4% and 2.5%.

There is an optimistic between him in the federal reserve.

When the Central Bank announces the final stage of economic forecasts on Wednesday, there was a more positive outlook for an Fed official US growth compared to colleagues.

The unnamed official, among the rest of the Federal Open Market Committee, forecasted the growth of US GDP by 2.4% over the next two years and up to 2.5%. No other committee member is expected to even reach 2%.

This reportOfficially known as a summary of economic forecasts, but the Dot Platio is called “DOT plot”, because the DOT plot is a record of the Federal Reserve officials from the US economy over the next few years. Investors and economists are carefully monitored by the point areas when the Fed is released to evaluate any changes in the economy.

The most recent point plot has seen consensus forecasts between the Fed’s management compared to those of previous versions in December. In this report, 13 committee members have been waiting for more than 2% GDP in 2025 in 2025. It is expected to be six increase between 2% and 2.1% and 2.2% to 2.3%. In December, an officer waited back 2.5%.

Because the dot plot is anonymous, it is impossible to say that the same committee member is the same positive outlook this time.

In general, expectations moved in a relatively bright direction. Growth forecasts fell, inflation and unemployment forecasts rose. “Authorities saw a clear change in risks for weaker growth and higher inflation” German bank After the meeting of the Fed, he wrote analytical note.

According to a march point plot, the increase in Fed’s GDP was reduced from 2.1% to 1.1%. While solving this change, the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell called “a magnitude meaningful landing” during a press conference on Wednesday.

Tower is repeated as the year as a year, the economy is in a general position. Reducing the growth forecasts added that it is due to the level of uncertainty.

Most of these uncertainty become stems President Donald Trump’s proposal from Trump: again, re-tariff policy and collateral to apply a hard immigration policy. Both politics can damage the economy by igniting a trade warfare and reducing labor supplies. So far, Trump management has made dizzying actions tariffsa critical part of non-traditional trade policy. After applying the tariffs in China, the world’s second largest economy, Trump was later praised Tariffs in Mexico and Canada. A new tour of the tariffs, the entry into force on April 2, April 2 has done little to offer the clarity they want.

The lack of details about the nature of the tariff policy makes it difficult to put the effects beyond large strokes. “There’s a lot of things we don’t know,” said Powell on Wednesday. “But we are preparing to be tariff and tend to bring growth and tend to become a first heart attack.”

Investors’ predictions were also suitable for the Fed’s consensus, but it is not a single optimistic.

“We showed a growth of our 2025 GDP forecast in politics and increased our main inflation forecast for the expected effects of goods and tariffs” Avant-garde Written to investors in an email on Thursday morning.

Widely uncertainty about what policies will be implemented and how it will affect the economy’s decision on the decision of the Economy Interest interest rate cut So far this year. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that the Central Bank did not rush to change interest rates. According to him, he said that the economy is quite strong enough to feed wait For more clarity about future policies of the White House.

This reality changes the balance of power in power.

“We encounter a dominant regime change from the dominant world of a monetary policy,” said William Blair’s researcher Richard de Chazal.

This story was first displayed Fortune.com

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