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- Interest rates of the federal reserve are expected to be sustainable. Investors will appear in the latest economic forecasts of Fed officials to the latest economic forecasts known as the “point plot”. Any variance between the most beasts and the most bullfers can be the key to the future of US monetary policy.
As the Federal Open Market Committee prepares to meet on Tuesday and Wednesday, the financial world is mainly what he expects: patience.
Wanted Fed during the year remind Investors are still strong in the economy. Although unemployment did not lose weight, and the aggressive tariffs of the White House, the inflation was only north of 2%. Even the stock market was even recovered since an extremely excited April.
But there are signs of sagging in the economy. Continuous unemployed claims Three-year heights, unemployed people are offered to find new jobs and enter the expectations of production inquiries.
The main question is trying to respond to investors and fed, this is a slight slowdown, so badly reflecting the economic reality of news about a recession or increased uncertainty.
Despite the relative stability of inflation and unemployment rate a Wave of uncertainty This year is in a large section because it becomes a major trade policy that worries the global markets on its investors, in a large part. However, the Fed President Jerome Powell claimed that the mood was not necessary to decide on interest rates of the Central Bank.
Investors expect Fed’s request Keep interest rates In the existing levels, 4.25% -4.5%, when the predification summarizes their meetings on Wednesday afternoon. According to CME Fedwatch, this year later this year, as a practical confidence, 93% see a ratio that is likely to facilitate until the end of the year.
Meanwhile, President Donald Trump (and more recently Vice President JD Vance) complained that Powel received too long to lower prices. Trump has repeatedly asked the federal reserve independence by believing that the Federal Reserve should take part in the independent, interest rates. Despite the unprecedented commentary of Trump, Powell always refused to comment on the criticism of the White House.
“The Fed always seems to be looking for ‘the dominance of evidence’, and this is accused of being accused of being very slow to move,” Investment decision research in Melissa Brown, Management Director in Melissa Brown, Simcorp Fortune. “I think they want to confirm their independence now, so they are like something like something like something or that’s something like something like something, they are most likely.”
The second point area of the year
The upcoming FOMC meeting will also cover the latest iteration of expectations for the committee members to assess the federal funds. The so-called “point area“In 2025, as they expect the media between one or two interruptions, the investors will help various in the committee.
It is important to have a sense of places where investors are in the point of the point, because it is more concerned with high inflation and low growth of Fed officials, Vice President of Investment Strategy, in GlenMede.
“There are two completely different policies playbooks,” he said, “Reynolds said,”
It is common that the Fed officials are a similar period during this period of the year. But this may not be the case right now. “In general, the points for the year inclined to unite around a consensus, uncertainty, this year (this year) said Fortune. “Points will be dilapidated than usual.”
The last quarter of the last quarter has shown the members of the Committee expected to grow more slowly compared to December forecasts and higher inflation. This time, around, arguing with a slightly more conflicting information, because despite the continuation of business growth, brown and corporate gains remain strong.
In the first quarter, the new developments that see the slowdown and GDP increase in production investment production are not enough to move from Fed. Given that Fed’s hand will remain relatively, investors will further analyze Powell’s words. These new pieces of information will want to know how Powelling’s appearance of Powelling.
After a few months of expanse and growing concerns about the future of the US economy, investors will seek to see that all of the fed’s affection is calculated.
“We did not see a concrete action following the uncertainty in this height,” he said.
This story was first displayed Fortune.com
