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The US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, in Washington, USA, USA, 11, 2025 in Capitol Hill in Capitol Hill in front of the Committee of the Housing and Urban Committee, “Congress” in front of the “Congress” in front of the Housing and City Affairs Committee “Congress”
Craig Hudson | Reuters
Federal Reserve officials are expected to be a continuous, but the economy of interest in the session of this week is expected to be a future road for interest rates.
If market prices are correct, there is almost no chance to join the current level of a number of targeted major interest rates between 4.25% -4.5% of central banking politicians. Department Jerome powder In recent weeks, their colleagues defended a patient approach to do something to do something.
However, the work is expected to throw tips here in places where the work passes through an indefinite background President Donald TrumpTrade and Finance Policy. It can include anything from the pinches in the forecasts for inflation and economic growth, how often you expect to lower interest rates.
“There is no chance of cutting on Wednesday, so all other things are more important,” said NORTH, the North American chief economist of Allianz trading. “They will say mostly:” You know, we will never be in a hurry. “”
Indeed, there has been a superior message from Powell and colleagues of the Federal Open Market Committee. One Speech at the beginning of this month Powell in New York economists “No need to be in a hurry,” central bankers, “no need to rush” as the “more clarity” led by Trump management.
New outlook for GDP, inflation, unemployment
The people will be published in the nutrients, and forecasts the Fedin quarterly forecasts for interest rates, gross domestic product, unemployment and inflation. According to the latest information, the Fed can increase the 2025 worldview for inflation in 2025, and 2.5% in both basic and hoods). Powell will hold a news conference after the regular meeting.
The question of the Rate question will use the Federal Open Market Committee to use the “Point Plot” network of individual members’ intentions.
There is a significant disagreement on what can happen. The committee can protect the December worldview for two inconspations, one or both or incredibly, can add anything else as a concern statement on potential slowdown. Everything appears on the table.
“I think this year may be one or zero incision, especially when the tariffs stick,” North. “I do not think that they cut prices and cut the prices, because they know that if they confuse inflation, they will be forced to return and restart.”
Economists are concerned Trump tariffs Inflation may change, especially if the President issues a global investigation of the White House tariff condition, it can be more appropriate to cut off on April 2.
Investors are right to worry about the direction of FOMC, Tiry Wizman, Global FX and Macquarie said Strategists.
“This anxiety refuses to control the macroeconomic policy in macroeconomic policy,” Wizman “wrote” Wizman. “Given the existing uncertainty, the increase in inflation expectations can be difficult to signify more or more or two more rates.
Markets still see two or three cuts
If the Fed should decide to stick with two incisions, it is probably called “Goldman Sachs Economist David Mericle” for “to get to add to the last market tubulus”.
Main Stock Exchange Averages The correction walks around The area or give up 10% heights.
In the past, under The idea of ”put the fed” Markets came to wait for the Central Bank to facilitate politics in response to market riots. Traders do not expect to reduce the initial rate that occurred until June, and approximately 50-50 chances of a third movement in an additional quarter percentage, according to the end of the year, according to the CME Group Fedwatch Fed Foundations Futures Prices Size.
But this may be even very ambitious, Wizman said.
“Instead of signaling the self-confidence in the markets and nutrition in their fedness, the FOMC congregation, instead, the FOMC congregation can ask many questions without response by Jay Powell,” said Powell nickname.
The committee may also solve the “Quantitative Partialization” program that allows the balance sheet of bonds raised every month. The markets will end the program at the end of this year and in recent meetings on how the Central Bank’s 6.4 trillion dollar portfolio and mortgage supported securities will be.
