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The battles are unpredictable. Even the Israelites and Iranians do not know how to end the current conflicts.
But there is a number of analogy to think. The first is the six-day war in 1967. The second is the Iraq war of 2003. The third scenario is a new conflict that Iran uses non-traditional means to withdraw against Israel and the West. This can become a hybrid war involving terrorism or weapons of mass destruction.
Netanyahu’s government has destroyed Egyptian Air Force in preparing a rapid victory over Egypt, Syria and Jordan, which has been a pre-day strike since the beginning of Israel.
Undoubtedly, this conflict has achieved rapid and spectacular success in this conflict. However, Iran’s collapsed nuclear program is more complicated than destroying the militants in the underground underground.
Somewhat CriticsIn particular, we are afraid to witness a rerunes of the early stages of the early stages of the Iraq war in the United States, as a result of the 2003 Iraq War. This, allegedly, with the background passion for the change in regime to fight to prevent the spread of nuclear. After the initial success for the US coalition, it became a bloody quagmira.
However, the Israeli-Iran war will most likely follow the positive way. A scenario that concerns Western security officers covers an hopeless Iranian regime that decides to retreat from non-traditional means.
As a head polymymaker put it, “It seems that it is a very limited tool for the fact that it is not to become a world war, Iran’s condition.” Another high-ranking person may also have restrictions on the continuation of the Armenian government in the fight against this intensity, because its country has limited “magazine depth” (weapons, non-jargon weapons).
Nevertheless, if the Iran regime believes, this would be a difficult choice if the conventional defeat in a conflict. Can take the situation and try to speak through the problem. Or may increase by non-traditional means. It believes that the regime is in a battle to survive and this limit can be transferred to the Iranian people and the world. The desire of anger and revenge should not be appreciated.
There are concerns in Washington and Brussels, if the Iranian regime is in a corner, despair.
There is US in the last past defendant Iran hides biological and chemical weapons programs. If these fears are correct, Tehran can be a means of being fatal, but denied to Israel or American goals.
The International Atomic Energy Agency also also has a significant uranium bar in Iran, which is rich in 60 percent. In general, Tehran is believed to be rich in 90 percent to make nuclear weapons. It can be done during these days – though the weapon is longer.
However, weapons experts show that it is really possible to make a raw nuclear weapon with uranium enriched by 60 percent. David Albright and Sarah Burkhard, the thought of the Institute of Science and International Security, write This “60 percent enrichment level to create a compact nuclear explosive is not necessary to enrich 80 or 90 percent more.” Such a weapon would be suitable for “the delivery of a raw delivery system such as an aircraft, shipping container or truck, Iran’s nuclear power.
Iran can demonstrate a raw nuclear weapon to shock Israel to end the war. Another probability, it can actually use ordinary explosives to scatter the “dirty bomb” – radioactive material. The type of scenario where experts worried, Haifa would be the use of a ship to blow up a device near Israeli port.
These are only Israel, but the judgments of the United States. In general, only America believes that Iran is strong enough to have the chance to destroy the underground nuclear rig.
There are many people in Washington to the second stage of the US bombing campaign, the second stage of the bombing campaign and Iran’s nuclear weapons program. However, no American attack from any American attack could not achieve this. Former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak, writes: “The truth is, even Americans cannot postpone Iran’s nuclear weapons more than a few months.”
Barak defends the only way that Iran never warrants the nuclear.
However, Donald Trump has repeatedly called for peacekeeping and calling Iran and Israel. Last month, he said a significant speech in Riyadh spoon Nutrients, through force, may cause positive change to the Middle East. This would be a strange irony and a terrible policy failure – Trump, if dragged into another war for regime change in the Middle East.
