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Islamabad, Pakistan – Eleven days after the armed 26 people died India and Pakistan in India and Pakistan stands on the threshold of the scene in India and Pakistan.
Nuclear armed neighbors, each of the April 22, took a number of tact against another, and in the 22nd of the attack in the 22nd the attacks in the murders for Islamabad in the murders.
India has stopped the participation of a Indian waters contract, which applied Pakistan’s water sharing mechanism. Pakistan threatened to walk away from the 1972 ceasefire line as a management line (LOC), a regional border, both of them, both of them claimed to have both. Both people also expelled each other’s citizens and pulled back their diplomatic missions.
Although the ceasefire agreement is in place Since 2021Current escalation has been the most serious in India since 2019 Air shots began After attacking Indian soldiers in the Pakistani land, which causes the death of 40 soldiers. In the last days they are fiery along the lok.
This time in India this time there are also increasing expectations of expectations that there can be a military operation against Pakistan.
However, both countries also attracted their diplomatic partners. On Wednesday, the United States Secretary of State Marco Rubio Pakistani Prime Minister Şehbar Sharif and Indian Foreign Minister Shebbaz Sharif and Jaishankar called on both sides to find the escalation. US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth called the attack on Thursday, Jamnath Singh, India, and offered “strong support” to India.
Sharif, China, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates called for the ambassadors of the two Gulf People to seek the support of three of Pakistan and Pakistan and the ambassadors of the two Gulf people.
To see what Pakistani strategies working on relations with India can take place, Al Jazeera spoke with Moed Yusuf serving as a National Security Adviser (NSA) April 2021 and 2022 Former Prime Minister Imran Khan.
Before the role of NSA, Yusuf worked as a special advisor in connection with national security, which will begin in December 2019, and Prime Minister Narendra Modi, which has been in four months of the Indian government, was canceled Special status India managing Kashmir.
Located in Lahore, Yusuf is currently the vice-chances of private university and has several books on South Asian and regional security and edited. The latest book, peace peace in a nuclear environment: US crisis management in South Asia, was published in 2018.
Al Jazeera: How do you assess the actions of both sides so far in the crisis?
Moed Yusuf: India and Pakistan struggled for a long time in terms of crisis management. There is no bilateral crisis management mechanism with basic concern.
The number one crisis management used by both sides will test both and trusts in third parties with their help to protect and increase the crisis.
This time, I feel the problem inside India that the leader of the old playbuk, but the leader of the third party, did not show India to support India.
Apparently, until today, they took a few days ago by President Donald Trump, as shown in a position of neutral and miss. (Trump said that both India and Pakistani leaders know their leaders and could resolve the crisis.)
Pakistan’s response is associated with the Indian response, which has historically been historically with each other with both countries. This time, a number of punishment steps have been announced.
The problem is that these are easy to take action, but it is very difficult to reverse and want to do it when things are made.
Unfortunately, in every crisis between them, revenge steps become increasingly important, because India has decided to catch in India Indus Water Agreement There is no such provision in the Leveya, which is illegal as a contract.
Al Jazeera: Do you believe that a holiday is inevitable and both sides show preparations for a show?
Yusuf: It is impossible to say in such moments. The action from India is acceptable and possible, but the actual worries of his destruction passed.
In general, the integrity of the Earth to determine the troops or logistics actions or logistics of countries, or allies can be informed or what can happen. Sometimes, these can be wrong and attack and attack to see if there are none or the defense may come when the defense can come when the situation is not the case.
Pakistan must naturally have a commitment to prepare for any event. You don’t know what the next is going to be, so you have to be ready.
When I say this, I do not think we will see a big war, but you can never predict in these conditions and cause something to misunderstand or misunderstanding.
Al Jazeera: How do you see the role of third parties like the United States, Chinese and Gulf and how would you compare to previous cases?
Yusuf: My latest book, my Peace of Brokerage (2018) was a third party management in the context of Pakistan-India, and this is such an important element for both domestic and third parties.
The idea will take one step in the third party and agree to stop the two nations, because it’s really what they want, instead of increasing.
The leader of the package of third-party countries, the 1999 cargore of 1999 tried to withdraw India to try to control strategic heights in the cargah. Then-US President Bill Clinton is due to the end of the conflict.)
Including China, everyone supports the US position, which is immediately supports the priority of the escalization above everything in the crisis.
This was changed in 2016 in 2016 in the 2016 Pulpamama crisis, which smoothing the United States, perhaps in 2019 to manage them in 2019.
(Indian troops in 2016 have been killed in an army of India, India and the aircraft of India, India and India, India, India and Pakistan, and then the air dog was caught and then returned.)
However, this time, you have a president who turned around and tell Pakistan and India to understand themselves.
In my opinion, India has hurt more than Pakistan, for Pakistan, for Pakistan thinks that they are very close to India due to their strategic relations, have left an important support in recent years.
However, India would hopes the pressure of Pakistan, which Americans do not fully realize. The Secretary of State Marco Rubio plays the phone call again, here they say both countries go out of war.
Thus, what they do is enough, it has not felt like that India has not yet returned India so far, because in 2019 they did not feel the best to take action during Pulpama.
The Gulf countries played a more active role than before. China has made a statement of restraint.
Hand Jazer: How did Pakistani relations with India develop in recent years?
Yusuf: There was a sea change in relations between the two countries. When the office, we saw a ceasefire in the control line and back channel talks, despite serious problems and unilateral actions in Kashmir in 2019.
We tried to move forward and encourage India to stabilize Pakistan, but I think that India has lost this opportunity due to an ideological bent that continues to threaten and threaten Hubris and Pakistan.
This led to a change in Pakistan, where the restraint policy of the leadership has not surrendered and India has handed over and abuses Pakistan’s dialogue proposals and abuses.
Now the look is that India does not want to talk, Pakistan should not beg. If India reaches, we will probably answer, but there is no despair in Pakistan.
This is not a good place to be in either country. I believed for a long time, and as a result, the fact that we will not go to where we want to go to the economically, and the regional cannot happen if they do not improve their relationship. So far, with the current Indian occasion, unfortunately I see little hope.
Al Jazeera: Do you expect any direct India-Pakistan talks during this crisis or after any level?
Yes – I do not know when or who will be or who will be with, but one of the delicate lessons is that it is not to be able to get to isolate Pakistan.
Indus Water Agreement Leveya? Simla Agreement Potential hanging? These are great decisions, and the two countries need to talk to the rankings and will be busy in the future.
But I do not think that Pakistan thinks that it is moving towards approaches, because we have recently proposed opportunities for dialogues. As I said, the mood in Pakistan was strengthened by this question.
As a result, the Indians must decide if they want to speak or not. If they go out, I think Pakistan will respond positively.
* This interview was edited for clarity and sharpness.
