India and Pakistan Conflict again

26 The deadly militant attack in Pahalgam in Pahalgam in Pahalgam, who claims civilian lives, made a sad feeling of a Déjà Vu for India’s security forces and diplomats.

This is a familiar land. After in 2016 19 Indian soldiers were killed in UriIndia has targeted the De-Facto Border between “Surgical Blows” – India and Pakistan.

In 2019 Pulwama bombing40 Indian hidden staff left the dead Deep air attacks to Balakot – The first such action in Pakistan since 1971 – revenge raids and air dog battle.

And before it’s terrible 2008 Mumbai attacks – 60 hours in hotels, a railway station and one Jewish Center – 166 – 166.

Each time India has held a serviceman groups based on the attacks, Pakistan, if Islamabad is neatly supported, Pakistan was rejected in a row.

After 2016 and in 2019, the eve of the escalation changed sharply. The border and air strikes by India took revenge from Pakistan and became a new norm. This further strengthened a variable situation.

Once more, experts say that India is about the density, fragile response and obstacle between escalation and restraint. A person who understands this repetitive period, management of India, anger, Former Pakistani Former Pakistani High Commissioner of Pakistan Ajay Bisaria Ajay Bisaria.

“Parallels after the murders in Pulwama bombing and Pahalgam,” Mr. Bisaria, Thursday, 10 days after the last attack, told me 10 days later.

Still notes, Pahalgam celebrates a turn. Unlike Culwama and URI targeting security forces, these attack civilians – tourists from India – wake up memories of Mumbai attacks in 2008. “This attack carries elements of pulwama, but more Mumbai said.

“We are once again in the conflict and the story happens in the same way,” Mr Bisaria said.

A week later, Delhi acted in a week later: the closure of the main border crossing, which stopped the key water sharing agreement, suspended the most visas for Pakistani citizens and the suspension of visas for Pakistani citizens – to leave the most visas for Pakistani citizens. The troops on both sides have taken a small armed fire extinguisher at the border in recent days.

Delhi also mirrored the previous movement of all Pakistani planes – airspace and airspace of Islamabad. Pakistan revealed revenge with its visa suspensions and stopped the 1972 peace agreement with India. (Kashmir was a flash point among two nuclear armed peoples since both India and Pakistan have been allegedly allegedly allegedly, but in 1947.)

In memory, Mr. Bisaria remembers India’s response after the Pulpama attack on February 14, 2019.

When the government moves rapidly to stop trade, he was summoned to Delhi To cancel Pakistan’s most popular national statusIt was given in 1996. In the coming days, the Security Directorate Security Committee (CCS) applied 200% of customs duties in Pakistani goods, effective trading on the effective end of imports and Wagah’s land border.

Mr Bisaria notes that a collection of further measures was also offered to reduce the connection with Pakistan later.

They include the suspension of a border train known as a bus service connecting Samjhauta Express and Delhi and Lahore; Postponing talks between border guards between the talks on both parties and history Kartarpur corridor To one of the most holy shrines of Sikhism, which stop the visa is issuing, India is going to Pakistan and suspension of flights between the two countries.

“How difficult it was to build trust, I thought and how easy it was to break it,” he writes Mr Bisaria.

“It is planned in this difficult relationship, negotiated, negotiated and all trusted measures can be cut over a few minutes in a yellow notepad.”

The power of the Indian high commission in Islamabad decreased between 110 and 55 after pulwamad. (Now it stands in 30 after Pahalgam attack.) India has also launched a diplomatic attack.

A day after the attack, Vijay Gökhale, the United States, England, China, Russia, including Pakistan’s Pakistan, including Pakistan’s use of Pakistan’s use of public policy, reported. Jem appointed by a terrorist organization by India, UN, England and the United States He claimed responsibility for bombing.

India’s diplomatic attack on February 25, 10 days after the attack, pushed the Cem manager Masood AzharThe UN Committee of Sanctions and the EU’s “Autonomous Terrorist list” appointment as a terrorist.

Although pressure for abrogate Indus watership contract – Key River Water Sharing Agreement – Instead of hiding any information from India contractual obligations, Mr Bisaria writes. A total of 48 bilateral contracts were considered for possible hanging. The All-Russian meeting collected in Delhi, resulting in a unanimous resolution.

At the same time, communication channels were open – the head of the military operations (DGMO), as well as a military-military contact, as well as the opening line between the main link for both high commissions. In 2019, he said that the attack on Pakistan is currently a “Fake Flag Operation”.

As much as this time A pressure in Kashmir saw material and technical assistance, shelter and intelligence for servicemen in Pakistan. Rajnath Singh, then visited the Indian House Minister, Jammu and Kashmir and the documents and sinners were prepared on the attack.

Mr Bisariya, Mr Bisaria, “Diplomatic options of India, who are engaged in the terrorist attack of this nature, said,” he said.

“He is round in the corner of some harsh movements, and then I must wait for the role of the expansion of diplomacy,” Mr Bisaria writes.

Indian airstrikes on February 26 – Cemin training camp in Balakot in the international border since 1971 – Cemin training camp.

Six hours later, Indian Foreign Secretary, the “large number of” militants and commanders were killed in strikes. Pakistan rejected the case quickly. Following higher level meetings in Delhi.

The crisis, Pakistan’s revenge raids the next day, February 27, the next morning, increased sharply on February 27.

In the next Dogfight, an Indian fighter jet was shot and pilot, the wing commander Abhindan Varthaman, Pakistan manager came to Kashmir and landed. Caught by Pakistani forces, the capture of the enemy caused a wave of national concerns, and tensions are increasing between the two nuclear armed neighbors.

Mr Bisaria has activated more than one diplomatic channel of India, by pressing the United States and the United Kingdom by pressing the Islamabad. The Indian message was “Any attempt to increase Pakistan’s condition or cause the pilot to increase by India.”

Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan announced the release of the pilot on February 28 The event occurred on March 1 under the prisoner of the war protocol. Pakistan presented the action as a “goodwill gesture” that acts sharply.

By March 5, the return of Pulpama, Balakot and the pilot, the political temperature of India was cooled. The Cabinet of Security Cabinet Security Committee decided to send the Supreme Commissure of India to Pakistan, sliding towards diplomacy.

“I came 22 days later in Islamabad on March 10.

“India was ready to give another chance to give the old diplomacy.

Mr Bisaria described it as a “test and exciting time” to become a diplomat. This time, the main difference, the target of the targets occurred when the attack “boldly improves the situation in Kashmir.”

The escalation is inevitable, but the notes are also “escalation instinct” along with escalation instinct. When the Cabinet Security Committee (CCS) met during such conflicts, the economic impact of the conflict is looking for measures to affect Pakistan without retreating the economic impact on the conflict.

“Body language and optics are similar (this time),” says, but the most important action emphasizes what he sees as the most important action: the threat of cancellation of Indian waters agreements. “If India acts on it, there would be long-term and serious consequences for Pakistan.”

“Remember, we are still in the middle of the crisis,” Mr. Bisaria said. “We have not seen our actions yet.”