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One The drink is a ceasefire President Donald Trump can change the progress of world markets, which is not approved by Israel or Iran – a few hours before the potential oil shock and high inflation.
The Iranian parliament has voted for the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday to close the vital waterway to global oil trade. The surprise increases the global significance of a narrow throat, which carries a narrow throat between the Iranian and the Iranian and the Iranian and the Azerbaijani and the Azerbaijani and the Azerbaijani and the Iranian Peninsula.
The movement by Iran’s state-ruled Press TV comes after Iran’s retaliation after the United States and the United States to attack the US military base in Qatar on Monday and Monday. Oil markets 3 dollars for a barrel of $ 3, or $ 3, analysts, when the country approved the closure of the country’s Bosphorus, they expected the sharp price increase.
Iran’s sore throat plans to close the ceasefire before the announcement may be likely to influence European and British markets and even cause a little violation in the water path and even shock inflation. Due to the fact that Iran’s detection in the region is revealed, the modest increase in oil prices can affect how to reduce the ratio for the rest of the federal reserve navigation, and analysts.
“As we saw (closing the Strait of Hormuz), as we saw Russia’s occupation in Ukraine,” Scientific analytics for Panmure Liberum of the British investment bank Fortune.
If Iran closes the waterway, Cruz is waiting for the shock to change inflation in the United States in the United States. The other, “more” scenario, the scenario where the throat is closed, but the price of the oil is 20% in the third quarter, 0.4 percent in the United States, 0.4% in the UK, forecasted 0.4%, cruz and research group in the UK. This can force the Fed’s interest rates, although the pressure of the troupe has been reduced since December.
As the experts say, even if they act, he could not have the ability to tow the threat.
“(Iran) makes noise in the closure of the Strait of Hormuz,” said Paul Tice in the National Center for National Energy Analytics. Fortune. “If the power to do it is not known.”
Brent crude oil prices in accordance with Tice’s justification disjointed From $ 78.97, they see a tanker flow in the throat of the Tanks in the throat, hovering up to $ 70 in Monday afternoon. Trump, today a truth seized the oil sector to keep the prices down the social prices postWarning readers: “I follow! If you go to the hands of the enemy. Don’t do it!”
However, even in one passage, the price of oil can affect the forecast to the forecast to “inflation effects for the Qur’an” from the central banks.
“If there is an additional oil shock from oil prices, we will not see the rates that are fed for the rest of the year,” he said. “(Central Banks) This shock is actually the transition to the fact that they do not make the same mistake in 2022: to think that the transition effect will be.”
The scenario of the 20% increase in oil prices will rise to the top in the third quarter of this year and disappeared in the third quarter of 2026. According to Panmure Liberum, the US exchange will drop up to 5% in this scenario to 5%.
Ethan Harris, the former chief economist, “Ethan Harris” against “adhesive, high inflation and (a) slow growth economy against the United States Bank of Americaexplained Fortune“I am more concerned about the shock of oil prices, about the sincere, trade war.”
Harris occupies the popular landscape Among economists US consumers will begin to see fuel growth in the summer and start to see an exaggerated CPI reports in the coming months.
Monday newsletterHarris wrote people in U. “More wishes” to see the price shocks of oil such as the economy, passage. Added that the United States depends less than oil The United States was imported in 1990 during oil prices as a result of oil prices, as the country caused Flashpoints as the US Iraq War and the country will be more “service.”
“As a result, the most empirical work, oil prices, which are 0.1% or less, have a $ 10.1% or less of a $ 10 / barrel,” Harris said.
Goldman Sachs analysts identify the value of 12 “Geopolitical Risk Prize”, determining the value of oil prices as an increase in oil prices for $ 66.9 per price.
In a report on Sunday, Goldman analysts have reduced about 20% of oil volume from the Strait of Hormuz for a month and a scenario that can cause a 10% reduction in the Brent Price to reach $ 110. The Risk Award for a barrel rose more than $ 25.
Although Harris says “no magic number” to predict excessive fat shock, a barrel price will be forced to get a “over $ 100” to threaten a decline.
The Oil Export of the Islamic Republic fell from 2.5 million barrels to 150,000 barrels per day after the war with Israeli, Israel’s Hayome declare.
Even if the throat is connected to the future, Macquarie Bank strategists do a job.
“Any of the throat would not be completely broken, because some oil-loaded oil-loaded oil can be sent in the Gulf terminals,” Strategists are recorded.
Twenty percent of global oil production flows through the Strait of Hormuz and experts say that the water road will significantly affect the closure, as oil One of the largest exports of the country.
“NCEA’s Tice said:” They hurt themselves, “he said.
