Is Trump’s investment claims – are the tariffs that increase the US economy?

US President Donald Trump can call the most favorite words in the dictionary. However, when it comes to obsessions, business investment must be close.

As of last month, more than 12 trillion dollars (8.8TN) said in his hour, “he said. “No one has seen the numbers as we are,” and paying the difference by paying the tariffs, tax reduction and regulation agenda.

True, this figure is really rough, potentially grossly grossly, the United States will increase three times in the total private investment in all last year.

Thus, as a Trump claim, is the scene for a new gold economic period suddenly a business expense, or is it all theater?

First things first: Trump’s work is very early to evaluate their claims. The US government only publishes statistics on business investment in every three months.

January-March, which reflects the two-month Trump’s work, show a strong jump in the field of business investment, the analysts are due to information related to a Boeing vacation.

Another joke and survey are evidence that Trump shows that the investment effect is more increased.

“At this point, we have any information at this point, and almost all information is probably for investment projects planned and ordered last year,” economist Nick Bloom, who looked at uncertainty on business investment.

“My business, my business business investment, not massively … in the first place uncertainty is quite high, and it will take a break.”

In the United States, Swedish Pharmaceutical Firm Roche, who is planning to invest $ 50 billion in the United States in the United States, is a good example.

Some projects included in the total were already in the works.

Executors warned that some Trump’s views could use some of the proposal to overhaul, especially in drug prices.

“The Pharma industry needs to review the costs, including investments,” he said.

Trump shows the work that usually points to investment promises prepared by high-level companies such as Apple and Hyundai.

White House keeps a escape tally In addition to these ads, but in the beginning of June, general new investments are put on the total 5.3TN – less than a semi-half of the amount specified by Trump.

Even this figure is inflated.

About a third of the 62 investments in the list include the plans that Trump is at least partially partially partially before the start of the task. For example:

• Stellantis, on the list, Illinois Belvidere, a factory reopening plan to reopen a factory, first promised this.

• Other liabilities include items that have not traditionally invested – as Apple’s collateral spent $ 500 billionThe company includes salaries of taxes and salaries that are already paid to employees.

In fact, in mid-May, according to the analysis by Goldman Sachs, new investments caused by ads, about $ 134 billion, about $ 134 billion, about $ 134 billion is about $ 134 billion.

This amount was once supported by foreign governments, for $ 30 billion in investments, which may carry out some projects, or within a risk that may take place.

“Although not economically insignificant, so many increases are the shortest drop.”

When I pressed the numbers, the White House spokesman Kush Desai, the leadership eliminated the concerns that the claims do not match the reality.

“The Trump Office uses a multifaceted approach to investing in the United States … and no amount of nitpicking and hair loss, many companies have explained the policy to form Trump and its plans.

BBC approached more than two firms in the White House list.

Many did not respond or were sent to previous statements.

Others have predetermined the current management they have prepared for some projects.

Exaggeration by politicians and companies is unlikely.

However, Kozamaz says that the leadership of the leadership will be the desire to intervene in the economy, tariffs and other changes, President and Petersen said their President Martin Chorzempa at the International Economic Institute.

“Announcing an announcement is a way to make a number of benefits without making this (spending hostages) without being changing the situation,” he said. “Companies have a strong promotion to provide a number as large as possible.”

This is not to say that the Trump policy does not make a difference.

Tariff threats says “There was an absolute catalyst” for planning to produce more in the United States, Sephen Farrelly, Pharmacists and Healthy Lead.

However, he has restrictions for what threats can do.

Pharma investments have been established in some cases – in some cases – in a decade – in a single sector in a year that is preparing to grow.

And they came from firms selling branded medications – many Americans are not in common medications, trusting and developed in China and India.

Mr. Farrelly can be at risk due to the uncertainty about the approach of the government’s investments in the long run, the government’s approach to tariffs, drug prices and scientific research.

In general, many analysts expect an investment increase in the United States due to the uncertainty of politics this year.

German Gutierrez, the economist of the University of Washington, Trump believes that you want to enable investment in the United States, but the global competitive emphasis is wrong.

The decline in investment is related to the consolidation of industrial consolidation. Now a few large firms are dominated by the sector, there are less incentives to invest in competition.

In addition, the types of investments, more products than machines and factories are cheaper.

Tariffs, profses, profiles are less likely to touch these issues.

“The type of tools they look and used is not the best ways to achieve this goal. It really takes more to go,” he says.