Seasonal power responds to a conflicting COT report – are you?

The golden market bulls have since 2022, when prices begin to extend to $ 2,000 for each ounce level, and finally did not allow it. In July 2025, gold, the nearest futures contract is a high value of $ 3,509.9. In October 2022, from 117% to 117% of 117% began to bought aggressively until October 2022, 2022 and lasted until September 202. Gold approached $ 2730. I will then appreciate the current obligation of the traders (COT) report.

Heddalters also benefited from mining companies and central banks. Like Newmont (NEM), miners (NEM) $ 2025 worth $ 2025, an increase of $ 2,023 billion in the increase of 24.5% increased by 24.5% in 2024. In 2024, Central Banks collected an important gold between global economic uncertainty and foreign exchange volatility. According to the World Gold Council, the amount of gold collected was close to 1,045 metric tons. This noted that the Central Bank has more than 1,000 tons, which is compatible with 1,000 tons of gold shopping, inflation risks and a strategic retreat from US dollar. This rally awarded those who follow the protected against both fast-gaining and economic uncertainty.

The two incidents point to the upcoming potential higher gold prices. First, the procurement of the Central Bank continues to buy 2024 with the 2024 People’s Bank. The report of the gold purchased by the PBOC will decrease the exact amount of Chinese golden purchases, difficult to confirm the exact amount. The second, the resignation of the federal carefully careful departments of the federal wary, President Trump said more can result in lower term interest rates. This would lead to lower US dollars and interest rates with throat for gold prices.

However, an event can disappoint gold buyers: if Powell resigns and sharply reduces short-term interest rates, due to the power of the current economy and employment, it can accept inflation as high inflation. Thus, increasing productivity at the long end of the productive curve (TLT), in inflation awaits this compatibility. It would be a hood for gold investors / traders, usually a hood for traders as uncertain in high interest rate environments. The speculators can face short-term losses, and hedges reduce the urgency of gold, reduces the urgency for gold.

Source: Barchart

Technical, gold is still in a long-term rising. The weekly schedule shows how much a 50-weekly simple moving average (SMA) traded in a row how consistently has been consistent since $ 2000. The existing bull market trades from 50 SMA to extreme distances, causing the concerns that the price may need to return to the meaning of some drowning in the market. Trend viewers will still appreciate the fact that they have grown this bullet, see the market and do not try to predict what they can do.

I wish I could say that this is already in the hands of strong hands that manage money, but I can’t. The following graphs will help explain my words.

Source: CME Group Exchange

How to lower the COT report for managed money in 2022, how to lower the (yellow line) and began to rise. As gold prices increased, each new highly highly highly highly high-controlled money was met with (blue sticks). However, those with high in 2024, the last time the money increased its total long positions with each new high price of gold. Seeing the price rallies and money cleaned from aggressive purchases, I think all this new buy is?

Source: CME Group Exchange

Trade traders and not changed vendors, then I found aggressive buyers not reports. Unfortunately, unfortunate traders rarely have the residual power of traders listed earlier. Not only information, only retail traders, but the reported level can be the size of a larger speculator trade contract. Non-reports have recently continued to receive new heights in new heights. I do not consider this selling signal, but it means that small traders will not be able to create a cascade in gold market prices that may be a vacuum for their haste. Non-reports have accused these prices higher and the trend continues. I just wanted to mark this COT report as a warning flag in Saria.

As I wrote, the gold market took an important action and some items I mentioned may cause higher gold prices. When I strongly believe in Trend, I like to be aware of the upcoming events that can affect the market I choose to trade.

Gold has historically has an important action from July to early September. The Moore Research Center has explored the Golden Market of the Council of Europe. This resulting in finding the opportunity of potential bullshit.

As an important reminderSeasonal samples can provide valuable concepts, they should not be the key to trading decisions. Traders should consider various technical and basic indicators, risk management strategies and market conditions to make market conditions and balanced trading decisions.

Source: Mrci

MRCI is looking for affordable seasonal examples and patterns with the least boot during the seasonal period (yellow box). After all, wants to sit with an important boot on a potential earnings? Gold has been a seasonal 15-year pattern (blue line) since the beginning of the year. March usually sees a kind, side or down adjustment. The golden market is trading side by side since then. Ready to start seasonal July sub-rallies?

I have attached the relative power index (RSI) to seasonal schedule. When you grow up, the markets are not uncommon to include adjustments and end up to 50% of RSI. There are three of these adjustments in the gold market, each sees a leap in the price. Gold starts July the seasonal purchase window in July and Hovering at the level of 50% of RSI. Coincidence?

MRCI research found gold in December 12 to 12 years in the last 15 years, 80% of more than 80% of 80%. During this period, there was never four years ago a daily closing wheel. During the hypothetical test, gold is an average of $ 4,700 per $ 4,700 for a winning trade within this seasonal window.

Source: Mrci

In the past, futures traders can use the standard size contract (GC) or a micro-sized (GLD) symbol (ETF). In addition, investors can get in the market of a physical gold sales market.

Although the GC contract is more suitable for many traders, there was still an important demand for a small gold contract from the retail market. To respond to this survey, the CME Group, 1-ounce group of 1 ounce of the 1-ounce of January 2025, aimed at the retail client.

Features for the new gold contract are:

• Contract size: 1 ounce

• Evaluation: US dollars and cents per ounce

• Tick size: $ 0.25 (Note GC and GR Contracts are $ 0.10)

• Trade Symbol: 1oz

• Duration: February, Apr, June, August, October and December

• Settlement method: Cash has been transferred

The features of the 1oz contract allow traders to better monitor gold prices. 1oz futures are closed directly to the ground price, which offers to expose the exact market.

The golden market bulls used 2025 on 2025 on 2025 in 2025 in 2025 in 2025 in 2025 and $ 11,750 and $ 618 in 2025, in 2025, used a valuable run. In 2024 in 2024 in 2024, geopolitical tensions in 2024 in 2024 in 2024 continues to draft demand. However, a potential hood machines: In 2026, the new Federal Reserve department cut short-term rates, the fear of inflation can increase and historically increased the long-term products. If the speculators give the hedgers, while hedges return the stability of gold, they face the risks face to face. The liability of the traders (COT) report, showing unpacked traders, provides money by showing the money managed by CME Group data. These small players, from July 2025, removing the odds of the odds, the remaining cash traders, the probabilities indicate the risk of acute sales.

Say, the Rally of Gold is a 50% relative power index, a 50% close relative power index, with a chance to close 80% of the Gold and August 8, between August on August 23. Again, traders should weigh in the technical extreme superiority, because it is a 50-week medium level. For trading seekers, the new 1-ounce of the CME Group began on January 13, 2025, 13-January 2025 offers a regulatory, affordable way to watch retail traders, standard (GC) and Micro (GC) and Micro (GC) and Micro (GC) and Micro (GC) and Micro (GC) and Micro (GC). Specifiers can capitalize in volatility, and hedgers are accurately exposed to protect against economic uncertainty. Despite the risks, the trend remains a throat, but traders should follow the COT and changes in the Fed Stream position to walk potential adjustments.

Don Dawson in this article was published in this article (or direct or indirect) positions in this article. All information and information in this article are for informational purposes only. This article was originally published Barchart.com