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The photo taken on January 30 in 2025, the European Central Bank of Germany shows the ECB headquarters in Frankfurt.
Zhang Fan / Sinhua via Getty Images
This year, the European Central Bank is expected to decorate interest rates for the third time for third tension and uncertainty this year for threatening the economic growth of the Eurozone.
Until Wednesday, in the markets, the central bank was the latest prices in a small number of interest rate and LSEX, the probability of a 50-century point of decreasing.
The quarterpoint will reduce the ECB’s deposit object, its main rate to 2.25%, from 4% to mid-2023.
Reducing relatively fast-paced interest rates, inflation in the euro region is 3% in a row, the ECB has recently been closed to the target of 2%. Regional economic growth was in the shortcomings.
The central bank’s last cut ratios in March, “Money is less restricted,” he knocked on his own language. In January, the ECB was still characterized as “restrictive” monetary policy.
Language change, some economists were more careful about the lower, lowering amount of money to lower politicians to lower interest rates. However, the global trade and tariff roller coaster of the last few weeks changed this scene a bit.
Tariff-trigger growth fears
“After the March meeting, ECB took a break for a break in the next meeting.
“There is no growth of the eurozone to grow the eurozone to grow the eurozone to grow more safety and protective of the German financial U Turn and strong European intentions,” he said.
Thus, “ECB is forced to reduce,” said Brzesky.
Many of the United States, along with revenge measures by Washington’s trade partners, were at least temporarily or reduced – this month was applied by President Donald Trump. However, the worldview for trade, tariffs and potential macroeconomic dropping still in Murky, Ryan Djajasaputra, Investec showed in the celebration.
“Uncertainty remains high, or the EU will not be convinced that the US president will not be confident that the future will not change the policy of the future,” he said.
Restrictive rates?
ECB can re-pinch the ECB again after how much restrictive rates are restricted in March.
Ing’s Brzeski said the Central Bank would “be forced to change communication,” the ECB will now be within neutral interest rates within neutral interest rates for a lower incision.
The issue of the so-called neutral ratio is the same for ECB, which is currently well discussed between politicians, analysts and economists for months. At the neutral level, interest rates are neither stimulating nor the economy, nor limited and stored.
ECB Approximate His neutral ranks between 1.75% and 2.25%.
Deutsche Bank research, economists said that they would remain unchanged about any potential language change, the language will remain unchanged. “With the view of inflation back to the target, this is a sweet sweet sweet sweetie.”
ECB Rate Outlook, US policy ‘clouded’
Thursday, looking outside the ECB decision, is expected to be “openly ending” for interest rates.
The ECB does not see words about the worldview of the ECB, which renamed the predicted politicians and will decide on each meeting.
“These open words allow the policy position to remain restrictive, neutral, or stimulate depending on the information,” he said that the ECB is possible to suspend interest-bearing trims in June.
Economists’ forecasts were reduced to the more growing interest.
In advance, in advance, the United States will depend on the development of the United States and global trade, and offered the investment Djajasaputra.
“Outside April, the worldview for ECB interest rates, are cloudy and reviewed with the decisions of the White House Policy,” he said, although the term of the period depends on other economic constructions.
