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BBC News, Washington DC
BBC News, Los Angeles
BBC News, Seattle
Brent Dmitruk calls himself an earthquake predictor.
In mid-October, tens of thousands of social media watchers, an earthquake soon hit California, the south of the south of the small coastal, California’s Western Point.
After two months, 7.3 in Northern California, northern California hit the site – Millions of Mr. Dmitry, who followed millions of Mr. Dmitruk, appealed to him to predict the Internet.
“So, how you can argue that it is just a coincidence to people who dismiss me. It requires serious skill to understand where earthquakes will be.” On the eve of the New Year.
But there is a problem: Earthquakes cannot be predicted, and scientists who learn them.
And it is so uncomfortable that it is so unpredictable. Millions of people living in the West Bank of North America are afraid to hit “big” landscapes and countless life.
The US Geological Survey (USGS), the seismologist, the seismologist, who is the author of a book, which is the author of three decades (USGS) and the seismologist, has improved the endurance of the earthquake survey.
As long as the earthquakes study, Ms. Jones said, “It’s a big thing”, saying that this is a great thing, saying that there will be something that will be something that will have anything to say in different regions.
“It is necessary to make an example in the face of human hazards, it is very strong, the answer is a very normal person,” he said. “There is no prediction power anyway.”
According to the US Geological Survey (USGS), it is clear that people want to warn people in the world every year.
Eureka area – 270 miles (434 km) from San Francisco, where the earthquake of December (434 km) felt more than 700 earthquakes in the last year.
In the area where Mr. Dmitruk correctly estimated that the earthquake will take place, USGS is one of the most “seismically active areas” of the United States. Its variability, a field known at the triple junction of Mendocino, depends on three tectonic plaque congregations.
This is the movement of the tiles associated with each other – above, below, as well as the establishment of stress. When stress is released, an earthquake can occur.
It is an easy bet to estimate that an earthquake will happen here, Ms. Jones, although a strong magnitude is very rare, he said.
USGS records have been only 11 such an earthquake or stronger since 1900. Five, including a Mr. Dmitruk on social media in the same region.
Although the guess is right, Ms. Jones said they could be predicted with any accuracy, including any earthquake, including the largest and society destroyed species.
Ms. Jones said that there are a complex and “dynamic” geological factors that led to an earthquake.
The scale of an earthquake, said the event occurred as the incident took place, when it is not a sign of breaking like an analogy, and the rip will continue to rip if it does not have a water sign that stops or slowed it.
The scientists know why an earthquake will be a sudden movements along the sin lines – but the forecast is something USGS is something that USGS cannot be done and “We do not know how to do it in the expected future.”
The agency can calculate the possibility of earthquakes in a certain area in a certain area – but this is as close as it can come.
Geological notes show that some types of greatest earthquakes known as “one of the great”, which are known to local residents, regularly occur. The Cascadia subduction zone shifts every 300-500 years, regularly continues to the Pacific Northwest coast with a high mega-tsunami regularly.
San Andreas in San Andreas in Southern California is also a source of other potential, “a great” source of bony earthquakes in every 200-300 years. Experts said that “one of the big” in both regions can occur at any time.
Ms. Jones said on his career, he warned several thousand people to such predictions of a large earthquake – in the 1990s by entering the people who will send faxes in the hope of warning them.
“When you get a forecast every week, someone will be lucky, don’t it?” He says with a laugh. “But then he would usually go to their heads and 10 more were not justified.”
Such a scenario seems to happen to happen by Mr. Dmitruk, who is not a negative negative. For a long time that it has been an incredibly large 10.3 earthquake to hit the southwestern Alaska or islands on the coast of New Zealand, which can violate the global trade of such a strong magnitude.
USGS, a defined element of an earthquake forecast – a date and time, location of earthquake and scale, to use any –
However, Mr. Dmitruk’s schedule changes.
In a moment, US President Donald Trump said he would come immediately before or after the inauguration ceremony.
Then, this was definitely said he would happen in 2030.
Although the sized earthquake occurred, Mr. Dmitruk said he believed this would happen yet.
“I do not believe this by accident,” Mr Dmitruk told BBC. “Not random or luck.”
Ms. Jones, when it comes to earthquakes, this type of thinking is common.
“Random distributions may seem like their patterns, we see a constellation in the stars,” he said.
“Many people are really afraid of earthquakes and predict that the way to deal with it.”
However, you do not have to be unprepared because you can’t predict when the earthquake will occur, you do not have to expertise.
Every year, in October, the third Thursday, millions of Americans, the largest earthquake in the earthquake on earth: Great shaking.
The Southern California earthquake center, which includes MS Jones, was created by a group.
During drilling, people apply drops, cover and grip management: they fall into their knees, cover under a solid object and hold for a minute.
The drilling has become so popular since the day it spreads to other states and countries of the earthquake.
If outside, it is recommended that people go to a place away from trees, buildings or power lines. Near the ocean, people fled to a higher ground after stopping preparing for the probability of a tsunami.
“Although it is now unless the soil shows, it is the best time for the experience,” said the Washington State Earthquake and Volcano Program Program Manager.
In addition to drills, the residents of Western coastal states use a telephone signal system stored by USGS called Shakealert.
The system works by revealing the waves of pressure spread by earthquakes. Although an earthquake occurred in the distant future, it warns a few seconds that can be saved. The “prediction” that has been invented so far is the closest thing to earthquakes.