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Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell notes notes in DC in DAC during the 7th anniversary of the 7th anniversary of the International Finance on June 2, 2025.
Chip Somodevilla | Getty pictures
Federal Reserve officials faced this week with future interest rates this week, the pace of interest will be the pace of future interest in the economy.
Any actions of any action in interest rates are incredibly, the policy session that ended on Wednesday will still provide important signals that can still move the market.
Among the biggest things that members of the Federal Open Market Committee will be cut this year and react to inflation inflationary trench and chairs of inflation this year Jerome powder For easier monetary policy, a concert has become a white home campaign.
“The Fed’s main message in the June meeting remains comfortable in waiting and seeing,” Bofa, Fed, Fed, but the properties of the Fed will not be cut this year. “
The “Point area” network of the committee’s assessment of individual members will be the center of the front and investors.
In the last update in March, the committee said the equivalent of reduction of a quarterfinement point this year, reduced in accordance with the current market price of this year. However, this was a close call, and only two participants, the two participants who change their approaches will slide the median forecast until a cut.
Meeting President Donald Trump’s inflation tariffs have been minimal so far, but it is not known for the future, but it consists of a complicated geopolitical background. At the same time, Trump and other management officials They stepped on their call for lowering nutritions.
On top of that, Israeli-Iran conflict Threatening to stabilize the global energy form that provides another variable to manage our policy.
“We expect the chair to repeat the message from the Powell May press conference,” Bhave said. “Politics is in a good place and do not rush to move the Fed.”
However, the landscape can change quickly.
Although the unemployment rate remains at 4.2%, Can give a non-tender salary report showed a gradual ongoing way Softening in the labor market. Most Recent inflation data In addition, the tariffs added another stimulus to think at least a macro scale to drop prices on a macro scale.
“In an interview with CNBC last week,” the former Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan said the former Dallas Kaplan said. “If it is not for prospective tariffs and not for tariffs, I think the Fed, Cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut cut.”
The things that took place at the meeting will be a one-year anniversary of a surprising attacker in the next incision to arrive in September Half interest point reduction FOMC is established in the labor market in a concern. The committee added two more than two quarters to the end of the year and was held since today.
In the existing climate, “trading voltage has decreased slightly, inflation was less and the hard information has shown only the signs of softening,” said Goldman Sachs Economist David Mericle.
Goldman sees twisted with two incisioncuts, but the company’s economists are expected to see only one.
“We are still convinced that the results of the inflation are still soft for the results of the results, but before, peak summer tariff effects for months of inflation before, FOMC will be very fresh,” he said.
Authorities will also update their predictions for employment, inflation and gross domestic product growth.
Goldman sees FOMC to 3% of inflation expectations for 2024, 3% of 0.2 percent. The company is also reduced to 1.5% to 1.5% to 1.5% of the growth of GDP to 1.5% and the rate of unemployment.
After that, the officials will use the summer to watch the information, and what will do there this year, the global policy and the Central Bank Strategy said in the interactive ISI.
“FOMC, as it says, as the copy of the worldview in the worldview of the developing worldview in the next few months, it still thinksook will continue to celebrate in September and celebrate until September,” he said.