The Federal Reserve continues to break in connection with the rate of interest rate, the two cuts are waiting for the end of this year

The federal reserve came together to discuss the possibility of reducing the interest rate only. Around this time, Fed decided to stop the percentage, 4.25% to leave rates in the range of 4.5%. The decision came in connection with the stable economic activity expected to increase in the first quarter. Economists are expected to be very expected.

“The Fed continues to evaluate today,” Melissa Kohn, William Raveisin Regional Vice President of William Raveis. ” Trump management tariffs can change inflation, and the future increases. “

The Fed, the increase in inflation, the ratio of unemployment is stabilized and labor markets are still strong. The economy decided to leave the level of inflation, which is close to the level of 2% inch inflation, as a result.

“To increase the economy of economy in the first quarter, American houses are still affiliated with potential revategorization, business security and financial outlook,” Dr. Selma Hepp, Corelogic Chief Economist, said in a statement. “At the same time, many are still engaged in inflation in apartment and related services in the last few years.”

Despite an economy that is slowly growing, consumers are not completely confident in economic situation. Different social and political measures still affect American households. Newly applied tariffs are one of the factors contributing to this uncertainty.

“The federal reserve war in the fight against stubborn inflation continues to affect the daily lives of American houses,” Anya Gezunterman, the director of the director of the Imparial Foundation’s assets. “On top of that, the Fed should look closely at the price increase in the price of any tariff, which will keep interest rates at a higher level.”

“He said that the economy continues to go to the so-called ‘soft landing’, we are very expected to slide down the mortgage, but not more than a percentage point,” said Gezunterman.

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Inflation is easier in February, but Trump tariffs can pass progress

Two more rates are forecasted by the end of the year

Prices remained unchanged after a fed meeting, but they pointed out that the two ratios will occur this year. Economists agree that consumers will soon see their cut. Analysts from Barclays Wait to reduce two quarterly proportions in June and September. They previously believed to be an incision in June.

“The more soft labor market causes a more ratio cut, despite higher inflation,” said Barclays analysts.

Barclay predicts that the deceleration labor will increase the unemployment rate to the summit at 4.3% in October in October.

In the first proportion of cut in June, “this” is expected to grow more slowly and increase in growing unemployment. “September” is expected to show “some signs of development during the rising unemployment rate and monthly inflation traces.”

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Mortgage rates hit a bit of two months this week, under 7%

Consumer confidence has significantly reduced in the last month

Many consumers do not see steady as it is thinner Consumer Trust Survey. Consumer confidence measures Americans’ attitude towards business and economic conditions.

In February, the current situation has reached 136.5 with 3.4 points, and the expectations index fell to 9.3 points 72.9. Below 80 in the index, usually hits a decline in the horizon. It is the first time that the index has been so low since June 2024.

“In February, consumer confidence has registered the largest monthly decline since August 2021,” said Stephanie Guichard, a great economist, global indicators in the conference council. “This has weakened the state of the future labor market, which brings the decline in the third month in the second month, which has weakened its index since 2022. There was less optimistic about future income. Pessimism and ten-month height.”

More people planned to take houses by showing a development area. The last decline in mortgage rates, probably wants to buy more homebuyers. It has been reduced as a car purchase plans, TVs and other electronics as they plan to shop.

“In February, an average of 12-month inflation expectations increased from 5.2% to 6%. This increase reflects the mix of factors, including glue inflation, but also the expected impact of the price and tariffs such as eggs,” said. “Since 2019, there has been a sharp increase in the mothers of trade and tariffs.”

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Next year in social security payments to receive a moderate value of the bump

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