The IMF warns US decline risk and defending the Fed Rate policy

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Donald Trump’s commercial war faces the risk of a growing recession because the global economy has made the “significant slowdown”.

In the last world economic outlook, the Fund dropped the growth forecast for the United States this year, and all the other G7 peoples, as well as large economies, including China, India, Brazil and South Africa.

The countries needed to “make an emergency solution” to avoid more damage to the growth prospects. “If you continue, the global growth will slow down in these tariffs and employees.”

As the capital increases sharply in the US trade barriers and the next movement of Trump as the investors increased the next movement of the US trade barriers.

Sales Monday, Dollars, Trump’s fears that Trump will try to remove the Federal Reserve Chairs Jay powder As it requires the immediate proportion of the president – from threatening the independence of the Fed.

The IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourincas said that the Foundation’s central forecast, US and global economies will prevent the decline this year after joining the year 2025 this year. However, the probability of a recession in the United States increased by about 40 percent, Gourincas said compared to 25 percent in the world economic outlook.

“We are the main risk in front of us, the fact that there can be further increase in tariffs and trade tensions,” he said. “There is also a risk of material situation that stiffs more than they are.”

This tariffs Will feed the US to higher inflation.

The independence of the Central Bank’s independence is important to check the inflation, Gourinchas, Fed, Fedin, said that scientists have the right to maintain interest rates. The IMF worldview is likely to be reduced this year.

He added that additional trade barriers “material” represented a supply shock that could affect the price of goods in the coming years.

“The Fed was sitting at this point,” Well, how to play this? ” “” Said Gourinchas. “And it looks very appropriate to understand and understand everything.”

Economic politicians from all over the world will face the discussion of global trade conflicts for the IMF / World Bank Spring meetings.

The IMF cut its worldview to 2.8 percent of the summer ball this year and reduced its forecast to 2026-3 percent. This is a slowdown of 2024 percent of the rate of 3.3 percent, because the IMF warns the “great negative shock” of rising trade barriers.

The forecast includes the tariff announcements and counterparts of other countries between February 1 and April 4, Trump, on the other hand, the 90-day break in most of the mutual tariffs. The G20 countries saw only the growth of Turkey, Argentina and Russia.

The Foundation reduced an increase forecast in 2026 in 2025 in 2025, 1.8 percent of the United States and 1.7 percent in 2026.

“Reducing the risk of the Foundation” warning, “he said.” Wider financial instability can occur in a wider instability, including damage to the international monetary system. “

Growth in Germany, this year in zero, in 2026 with a total of 0.9 percent expansion in 2026, 1.1 percent of England was established this year and 1.4 percent.

China is also built in 2024 compared to 5 percent and a slowdown with the IMF, which predicts the expansion of the subsequent 4 percent.

This Car Alternatives to the basic “reference” scenario for the global economy.

However, such an alternative, such an alternative, a 90-day break, the fund’s lasting for the majority of the so-called tariffs, the Fund, the tasks can not change the reference for the reference forecast.

This is now the largest economy of trade barriers between the United States and China – the world’s largest economies.

The fund added that the negative impact of obstacles will not be limited in the near future. The search for the tariffs is waiting to reduce the competition and innovation while increasing “Weighing further in Outlook.”

Added: “Growth prospects, countries facilitate the position of the current trade policy and close new trade agreements.”