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The majority of what you hear about the stock market gyrations are wrong, probably


New York, New York - March 12: Traders work on the New York Exchange (NYSE) floor in New York City. As tariffs continue to disturb global investors and business leaders, the markets were flat in the markets. (By Spencer Platt / Getty Images) picture)
Traders on the floor of the New York Exchange last week. They don’t know what their resources will happen than you do. (Spencer Platt / Getty Images)

In a stock market in the stock market, the future of the portfolios, the future of the portfolios of the investors, and the prospects of a trigger with the will of Donald Trump, or the tariff-threats did not want.

This is not the place to get advice on how the stock market is to trade. When exploring the market forecasts coming to me through email and investment sites, I see that they are regularly fell into two balanced categories: this advice, “do not worry, be happy”; And a cataclym crash forecasts or at least a large decline of the horizon is stoned.

The market is a bull, I heard that I heard that I heard or a slip, and “Prince Cassidy and Sunance Male” Oscar Winning Scenarist, Holliam Goldman, Hollywood’s “BSANCE CASSIDY” reminded: “No one knows nothing.”

Selling to a sleeping point.

JP Morgan’s recommendation to a friend saying that she is so irritable, could not sleep at night

He said that the most recent exchange activity may be useful to place in the future. We can start with the volatility of recent days and weeks.

On March 10, the Dow Jones industry decreased by an average of 890 points or 2.8%; The Nasdaq composite index, which is a broader standard standard and popular 500 index, decreased by 4%. The day before, Trump refused to rule out the economic policy could decline.

The mood of the market was sour in all week. Thursday, S & P 500 entered the “Correction” area – in this case was recorded on February 19. This indicator violates the adaptation of any action in the Dow industry in the Dow transport index.

Both had fallen last week, wrote “afraid of being a wider market” Daily Mail’s James Gordonu.

However, it is suspected that the theory of Dow was in line with today’s economy. The turn of the last century, industrial exit was in heavy machinery and physical goods, in physical goods to be sent by railway companies that dominate the transport sector.

Today, more than one-third of 30 companies in Dow Industrials do not make products that must be transported to finance, insurance or high-tech and physically.

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Anyway, Dow, Dow, rose 674.62 points or 1.7%, S & P 500 rises 2.1% and the NASDAQ has brought a relief rally growing 2.6%. This was not enough to delete the loss of the week, but when the DOW increased by 0.85%, 0.65%, S & S 0.64% and NASDAQ to 0.31%, Monday.

None of this, which compares DOW to 4.65% to 4.65%, S & PA, and the NASDAK is so far less than 7.8%. However, watching the stock exchange with short-term actions indicates non-adequacy.

Market commentators usually advise investors to hang hard in their periods of variation. Although historically did not sound equally to everyone, it has received healthy tips.

The more distant horizons, which are more distant horizons, more distant horizons, such as households, are more distant horizons, are better for those who are more distant horizons, such as households, which are more time to capture long-term growth in stock prices.

For those who retire or close, the environment may seem more anxious. In 2023, in 2022, a 65-year-old was considered a stock portfolio in a portfolio in 2022, in 2022, a five-year-old exchange had to withdraw the stock exchange – many such households are enough to force retirement options.

The politicians who often try to convince voters about the discounts of voters and investors in a market discounts often inflicted their own policies, but it does not mean that they are always wrong. President Trump’s Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Buzzsaw Sunday Sunday “When I met” Sunday “Adjustments are healthy. Are normal. This is not healthy, not healthy for receiving euphoric markets. How do you get a financial crisis. “

AxIos, these statements, bessent, with a veteran wall prospectus executor “It was broken with Orthodox.” In fact, his adjustments were completely eligible to Wall Street Orthoslavy. His “euphoric markets” regularly produced financial crises, without a crisis, without a crisis, the euphoria can support its euphoria for years.

The former Fed Department warned the stock exchange on the “Irrational Project” in 1996, but in 2000, in 2008, the financial crisis by 2008, a financial crisis did not take place after 12 years after the stock market, and this is not a stock market. Anyway, a ton of Bessent, a ton of snowy defenses Trump’s unpopular economic policy.

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The same phenomenon was greeted by President Nixon’s statement in May 1970, “If I had any money, I would have purchased stocks right now“As in the teeth of a 17-month-month-old bear market (the longest and steeper in the World War II.

Like I recently wrote, a suggestion White house insiders will play on the market with the announcements of the front Trump, or retreat plans are dangerous to carry out the stock exchange news. The trump’s trend, especially in order to announce the implemented policies, may be true.

My favorite stock market commentator, active manager Barry Ritholtz calls his followers “Make the noiseTurn off the TV and avoid trolling, wild forgives and chaos “from the chaos produced by Trump. Instead, pay attention to what’s really happening.”

Tariffs for Canada and Mexico are a moving target and are not mainly carried out, Ritholtz points. With the mass working ways and sharp operation of Elon Musk, a sharp budget cutting claims brutally overturned.

Among the policies, in terms of the policies, Ritholz, in 2017, in 2017, the Federal Trade Commission in 2017, the Federal Trade Commission, which has a federal trade commission, which is compared to the FTC, has tax discounts.

It is fair to expect Trump’s policy to influence economic growth, Including in California. The most popular opinion by economists and business leaders is to “uncertainty” to the economic planning of its work to date.

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Of course, the future is always uncertain. In 2010, when Republicans complained of “uncertainty” prepared for tax, health and financial reforms, I observed that business leaders who took refuge in terrorism under their beds, the United States is in danger of destroying the Soviet Union. This It was uncertainty, and this exceeded the most prosperous period in our history.

We can be in the peak peak of the existing cosmation. Referring over tariffs, the US Chamber of Commerce, “threat and uncertainty quoted a member It is difficult to make work decisions. “Before this month, UCLA Anderson’s clement bohr of the economic forecast” This uncertainty level, Firms stop hiring. They will wait for it. “

This is the waiting period that only the PIC. of Trump’s policy will continue until it is clearer (assuming it to be in time). The stock market is the mechanism for measuring the future expectations after all this. At the same time, no one can be sure, how much it moves forward – this is only to appear more ahead than tomorrow.

Anyone with almost a share or bond portfolio has a different mental picture of what they want to work with investment in the absence of how it does not reach. How much are you ready to take? What do you want money? How much is your investment horizon?

JP Morgan was impatient with dating all these considerations that want to squeeze the maximum maximum of each other. It was very uncomfortable because his shares could sleep at night by a friend. Asked, what should he do? Morgan’s answer may be apocryrif, but the truism covers the truism that investors have to empty the emotional reaction from the cold analysis under investment decisions.

According to the story, Morgan replied: “selling to sleep.”

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This story originated first Los Angeles Times.



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