The Slowdown at Ports Is a Warning of Rough Economic Seas Ahead

$ 10 billion The container shipping industry, something full of everything around and global seas, called the phenomenon “empty sails.”

Consider the world-class ocean border trading economy as a bus system, where several buses or ships stand along a certain route of several buses or ships. People with bus systems or shipping companies understand that they do not have a passenger request to manage the route in the middle of the day, they will eliminate one of these times. The same as shipping companies: If there is insufficient orders to justify a container ship with a standard route, the company combines the goods that you need to be with travelers to be with the goods will be “empty”.

This is normal shipping products. But this is not a month. As the influence of President Donald Trump New tariffs for foreign goodsDying The trade war they ignitedMany shippers who usually send goods along the Pacific Ocean, canceled or canceled their shipments. Supply chain research firm information from offshore exploration indicate that there are empty sails The western US shores should be jumped by 13 percent this week, a week after 28 percent. In the port of Los Angeles, the largest, expectation of the nation 17 blank sailing sails in MayThe port will lose 224,000 “twenty meters equivalent unit”, “the standard metric used to measure the content in a container. In general, The port shows dataThe import volumes will decrease by 31 percent next week due to the same week last year.

This means that a lot of things that don’t have a lot of things that are not tied to the United States are no longer coming and especially this china. This is an unusual part. “It’s very extreme,” says Simon Hearey, General Manager of Container Research, Maritime Research and Consulting Firm in Drewry. “This has not been visible in the history of the container.” The empty sails say, “You are an early canary in coal mine”. [for goods]Or the truck pace falls very quickly. “

What does this mean for consumers? Currently, the US government said that there are many countries, including the tariff level with many countries, so container shipping image can change rapidly because the transaction deals are signed or spilled. But at this point, some shortcomings are cooked. Experts say Low-precious retail goods such as toysAs fewer ship pushes prices and scarcity, the United States is more likely to be more expensive.

Trump has admitted a lot at a cabinet meeting this week: “Maybe the children will have two dolls instead of 30 dolls, and maybe two dolls will have a few dolls,” he said.

However, in a few weeks, even the global container shipping industry cannot predict the tea leaves and its “empty sailing” schedule will be what global trade will be. Some of the empty sails are currently due to economic uncertainty, Jean-Paul Rodrigue says the professor of Denri-Paul Rodrigue examining port operations at A & M-Galveston University at A & M-Galveston University. Firms and countries are delayed until what the new rules of the game are in. We are building the board, saying the dice, “he says. “Rules have changed.” This means that if deals are made, these goods can return.