The threat of Iran has been enchanting the Gulf for many years

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The writer is a regional security director at the International Institute of Strategic Studies

Tel Aviv is difficult to miss the optimism and euphoria in Washington and not several Western capital. The shocking of Iran’s power will convey stability and peace in the Middle East, and many want to believe. US Ambassador Steve Witkoff, several unnamed, which will normally normalize relations with Israel, although they may not be the Arab states. Some Israeli strategists have already proposed “Abraham Shield Plan”, which will already increase Israeli-dominance and secure political and economic benefits without presenting any concessions on Palestinian statehood. First of all, there is no desire for the Negotiation for the Israeli Gaza War.

In the five decades, the fifth great confusion is with a sense of stupidity and fear of fear that browsing the Gulf region. In the 1980s, the Iran-Iraq war, 1990-91 Gulf War, 2003 US occupation and occupation and occupation of the United States and the occupation of Iraq and the occupation of Iraq and the occupation of Iraq and the agenda of the regional well-being and the regional welfare and the regional well-being of the Iraq and the regional well-being of the Iraq were hoping to protect this region from confusion. Donald Trump’s visit to Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the UAE and this vision is carefully prepared to buy us.

Instead, despite all his efforts, Israel attacked Iran two weeks ago, and Iran watched the US strike against nuclear facilities. Foreign workers were established in Iran to retaliate against the US base in Qatar, but were calibrated and working for citizens and security of Qatar. The air support of Qatar, supported by the United States, has performed well and does not have a loss. However, a few years ago, the shock of a country hosted by the World Cup and is unshakable for neighbors who are proud of the convenience of stability, security and work. Gulf states should now plan a period of uncertainty and instability for a long time. The war from their prospects was not in a fade.

Regardless of the extent of the damage to Iran’s nuclear facilities, Tehran released a nuclear unalvation agreement, and the bombing of Israel and the United States will be formed and wanting to seek the rudimentary nuclear device. One thing in the Gulf is once done in a contraceptive threat – an Iran will affect its stability under the nuclear limit and the reduced regional reach – for decades. This will keep the Gulf states and those who want to invest there or live there.

All analogies are flawless and self-care, but consider the following: Today it seems to be Iraq in 1991. It can no longer be a project force and can be forced to correct the rebellious peripherals, but it can still break the neighborhood. The internal and exile opposition forces are weak. And his leaders still believe that the change in regime is an unnamed purpose.

Contrary to the 1990s, the dominant in the world is uninterested in today’s commitment to the United States, because of its ownership of the Iraqi leadership and not legal grounds for it. Demonstrating more power from any US military parade, the percentage of Trump is neither a compound and sustainable settlement and a sustainable place of residence and connecting the Iranian region. Although Israel will probably restrict the freedom of such a design. Israel is interested in not working in the first place. Important, the will and spies of the aircraft can also work everywhere, both enemies and partners to accept this unconditional. A weakened Iran will be very busy to solve internal scores to risk licking and taking time to lick and take time.

His nuclear brinkmanship was withdrawn in a bad way, but Tehran remains a card that can play. This will be forced to re-think of his defense position. It failed to attack and attack Israel through mid-range ballistic missiles and militia. Investment in the Homeland defense remains expensive and difficult: Russia has proved that it is less than a friend and that Iran will not prioritize. China is now followed by Iran’s next best bet, but Beijing will provide better service to the Middle East policy than this conflict. The remaining vehicles in Iran’s arsenal are more accurate and short-range systems that are useful within the Gulf region (also missiles and drones).

All this means that the Gulf states are now more time and attention to lead Iran. Israel is likely to look for better air protection to have more missile shield and more missiles and more missiles. This ensures sustainable defense relations with Western countries. However, despite Tehran in recent years by Tehran, Doha and Riyadh tend to show patience and magneticg. There will be political statements, visits and economic instructions, as well as greater criticism of the United States and Israel. Unfortunately, Israel’s success against Iran further reduces Saudi Arabia to normalize with Israel.

While discussions in Western capital as a force spent in Iran, the country will remain in the center of the conversations in the Middle East for its neighbors and years.