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The United States sows the economic growth forecast due to the uncertainty of OECD, tariffs and politics


Outlook for economic growth A new report released by the Economic Cooperation and Development Organization (OECD) on Saturday was intensified in a new report released by the OECD.

The forecast of the OECD forecast is 1.6% to 1.6% to 1.6% in 2025 and 1.5% in 2026 in 2025, the last year’s gross domestic product (GDP) is below the 2.8% increase.

The group, a slower growth forecast “a significant increase in the effective tariff level related to a significant slowdown and a decrease in the federal workforce in the net immigration.”

In addition, the annual caption inflation will increase by up to 3.9% of the annual heading inflation by the end of 2025, because higher import prices The tariff is growingbefore next year, before it is easier to increase in moderate GDP and higher unemployment.

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Containers in the port of Los Angeles

The OECD reports that higher tariffs are expected to increase the lower economic growth in the United States. (Getty Images / Robyn Beck / AFP via Getty Images)

“Risks to the growth project are more substantially reduced Slowdiction of economic activity In the face of the uncertainty of politics, the correction of higher pressure and large financial market than the tariff prices and wrote “OECD”.

“Since February, a wide range of announcements in the US trade policy, new tariffs and other trade restrictions, and some canceled, delayed or modified, modified and modified Revenge by some trading partners“he said.

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President Donald Trump raised tariffs to sell tariffs to the United States (Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images / Getty Images)

President in the forecast Donald Trumps Tariffs in force in mid-May would remain in place in 2025 and 2026.

“This does not represent an unprecedented increase in the average effective tariff, over 15% of the highest since World War II,” OECD wrote. “Although new tariffs increase in the United States, higher import prices will reduce real income for consumers and increase the price of imported interim goods. Tariffs and politics are violated and the value of uncertainty has a negative effect.”

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Tariffs have been taxed by imported goods paid by the importer, usually at higher prices at higher prices. (Photographer: Mark Felix / Bloomberg Getty Imager / through Getty Images)

Forecast, the federal reserve can relieve monetary policy and inflation expectations in good inflation, inflation will be reduced to the expectations and reduce lower interest rates. Also noted that the federal government needs to come in Budget deficits“Important financial regulation will be required for several years,” said, “Significant financial regulation will be required in the coming years.

In 2026, in 2026, in 2026, about 7.5% of US GDP shortcomings are expected to increase public debt-GDP 100% increasing ratio by the end of 2026.

“A new tariff revenues resulting in the reduction of the federal workforce” The OECD noted that “OECD noted that” the effects of the effects of the weak economic activity is also replaced by the financial package for the expected entry into force. “

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This package would extend the provisions of 2017 Tax discount and place of workAlong with cutting other personal and corporate taxes, it is reduced to Medicaid in spending on defense and border security. The OECD is responsible for the increase in the deficiency of GDP in 2026, at least 0.6 percent of the basis of the package. “



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