Hundreds of foreign companies left after Russia 2022 Occupation of UkraineIncluding large US companies such as Coca-Cola, Nike, Starbucks, ExxonMobil and Ford Motor Co.
However, after the war for more than three years, President Donald Trump, peacefully, was resolved peacefully, and the restoration of the US-Russian trade was implemented. And Russian President Vladimir Putin He said that foreign companies could return to some cases.
“Russia wants to trade with the United States with the United States when it is finished this catastrophic blood roof, and I agree,” said Trump, Putin after telephone conversations. “Russia has a great opportunity to create a massive amount of work and wealth. Its potential is not limited.”
The President then moved to Putin after heavy lips and missile attacks in Kiev. By saying Putin’s “totally crazy” and threatening to new sanctions. These and final statements of Putin’s warning showed that Western companies will have a smooth process, which reflects the reality of the previous returns of Western companies and return to Russia.
The reason for this, Russia’s business environment has changed massively since 2022. Not in the ways that prefer foreign companies.
Putin requires Ukraine’s adoption, which increases the attacks and continues to the area, and the peace deal is really far away.
Here are factors that can stop US companies so far:
The risk of losing all
The Russian law classifies Ukraine’s allies as “unfriendly states” and puts serious restrictions on enterprises from more than 50 countries. These allow the removal of money and equipment to be monitored by the restrictions, as well as important companies to the Russian government. The voices of foreign owners can be legally ignored on the board boards.
The remaining companies were required to sell the values of the assessed values for 50% or less, or simply wrote them, when the Kremlin’s friendly business groups cheaper the assets. By the presidential decree of 2023, the Russian government’s Fortum’s Fortum, Germany’s energy company Unipro, French dairy company Danone and Danish beer Carlsberg’s Fortume Energy Company.
Although the peace deals removed us from the list of friendship and the massive western sanctions in Russia have fallen in Russia, the trace of losses will remain glow. And there is any sign that will happen.
“No company said that they are ready to return a company,” said Macro-Advanstory Ltd. in the Russian government General. ” “It’s all at the level of political narrative.”
Russia’s actions and legal changes “Long Damage”, “Long Determination” in the business environment, says Non-resident-aged workmate Elin Ribakova at the Brueseld Institute in Brussels.
He said that the return of US enterprises is not “most likely.”
‘I need to choke them’
At a meeting of the Kremlin in a meeting, Russia’s services in Russia and Microsoft in Russia, Moscow needs great technological companies, as local technological companies need to develop, he said.
“You need to drown them,” said Putin. “After all, they are trying to strangle us: We have to intervene; We did not interfere. We presented the best possible conditions in our market, and we have provided us the most favorable conditions possible.”
He convinced a representative Vkusno-i Tochka (Delicious) – Russian company, which takes on McDonald’s restaurants in the United States – If the US Fast food giant will help Moscow to help them back. He asked for a comment, McDonald’s, “The ownership of the work in Russia was sent to a statement in 2022 whether he was no longer grateful.
Not very reverse
Russia’s difficult working environment is likely to stagnate due to the lack of investment in the sectors other than the military.
“Russia’s lowest projected long-term growth prices and one of the highest levels of country in the world,” Heli Simola, “said the chief economist on the coast of Finland at a blog post. “Only the Belarus offers the same extent of growth and risks.”
Most of the opportunity to make money is due to military production and is unlikely that the United States will work with the Russian military-industrial complex. “It is not clear to connect and wait for returns that will compensate for this negative investment environment and wait.”
Refund agreements
Some companies, including companies with Renault and Ford Motor Co. allow them to return their shares later if they change the terms. However, taking into account the unstable legal environment of Russia, it is difficult to stay.
Russian buyers can change the terms and try to ignore more money or ignore contracts. “There are many uncertainty about how these procurement auctions are applied.”
What about oil and gas?
Multinational oil companies were among those who suffer from Russia, so they would not want Russia to try again, taking into account the extensive oil and gas reserves. US .. The main ExxonMobil has unilaterally canceled the share of Sakhalin’s oil project and wrote $ 3.4 billion.
Russia’s major oil companies need less foreign partners than in the smallest oil Soviet era, although the smallest oil service can be measured in Russia’s oil industry. However, Wearer would encounter new requirements to establish local being and investment.
Some have never left
According to the Kiev economics school, 2329 foreign companies have still completely appeared in Russia, in other countries, and 1,344 people in other countries, and 494. The Institute of Executive Leadership of the Department of Management, the two US companies in Russia have been reduced to 100 closely with the suspension of new investments.
EU sanctions can remain even if the United States is open
The United States sanctions are considered the strongest, as they are in danger of being cut off from the US banking and financial system. However, the EU still hits new tours against Russia. Although the US sanctions fall, the EU sanctions will continue to provide a headache for any company that he wanted to do in Europe.
