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Trump and the art of an international peace agreement


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The resignation of the world police officer is more difficult than it seems. When the battle between India and Pakistan, the first reactions of the leading figures under the Trump leadership last week, the first reactions in the principles of the first “America”.

JD Vance said the United States would not participate in a conflict with “none of our business unfounded.” The Vice President of the United States continued: “We are unable to manage these countries …… We cannot say to the Indians to sleep. We cannot go to Pakistani.” President Donald Trump claimed that the two countries would “take one or the other.”

This high indifference did not live for a long time. The battles between India and Pakistan are strengthened – heavy tips on nuclear weapons with Pakistan – the best officials of the United States, Vance, hit the phones. When a ceasefire is declared, Trump was quick to demand a loan. (There is no surprise there.)

The exact role of the United States to discuss the ceasefire – and will not be open questions. But all the episode Madeleine Albright reminds me of a popular phrase: America is an “irreplaceable nation”.

Under Bill Clinton, Albright, who served as Secretary of State, is a kind of “American first” crowd, “The American’s first” crowd gathered around the Trump.

There’s a controversy that is not just ironic – but it is inevitable – it ended in this Trump and Vance in places that celebrate them. They work with super power and external policy thinker Robert Kagan once put it once: “Superpowers retire.”

It is possible that Trump and Vance stuck with the initial instincts and stayed out of the conflict of the India and Pakistan, the United States has not yielded no results. But in the end, they were not ready to risk.

Trump and CO really is not known to “retire” or simply use the American power in different ways. Sometimes they tell their hands out of a nervous foreign disputes. In other points, this is the United States to promote economic interests.

Despite the threats for the self-established “structures”, especially those who assess themselves peacekeepers, especially the threats for the Greenland and Panama. As it is for Trump’s herself, the master is not just to trade, but also stretches up to war and peace.

Last week, the President finally won a chance to demand a loan for trade and peace deals. Britain and the United States have signed a peace in the trade war, which initiated himself. And Pakistan and India stopped deadly exchanges.

As in diplomacy – in trade – the next question will be once and the transactions of last week will be once. Or Trump finally, the master can make the allegations good to be a handling.

So far – the hoopla and self-promotion – Trump management has made very little progress in search of peace deals. The ceasefire of Gaza, which was discussed by the United States in January, was divided. The Israeli government is probably feeling that Carte Blache is to fight war, as Gaza prevents food and humanitarian relief.

Trump can use his visit to the Middle East to try and revive a kind of peace plan for Gaza this week. But the chances of success seem to be thin – the situation in the ground is becoming more and hopelessly.

In the Gulf, Trump will also have to deal with the issue of Iran. Israel has pushed a lot to a military strike against the nuclear program because Washington has tried to meet with Tehran a new nuclear agreement. The Israeli attack can be green – almost in the United States arises as a central foreign policy department within the Trump Office.

Here, Vance’s protectors leads to argue against military action. Mike Waltz, Hawine US National Security Adviser Mike Waltz’s dismissal, Netanyahu government hit the government. However, the idea of ​​attacking Iran continues to return. A prominent structure says: “On Monday, I stop war with Iran Day ‘, because it starts every week.”

And then there are efforts to discuss the ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. Once again, Trump management disappointed the originals of diplomacy. Last week, I saw that Ukhtenton, Ukrainians and the Russians complained about the first half hours of any conversation that restored each other.

Trump’s Go-to Moicationator has Steve Witkoff, A real estate real estate accused of the Russian-Ukrainian war, which ended with the Russian-Ukrainian war engaged in the Iranian nuclear war and brings peace to Gaza. If he has five minutes of reserves, he can be addressed to the solution of Kashmir.

If the Trump Administration’s foreign policy is not fully enough, some close observers are afraid of China to move on Taiwan.

Faced with all these annoying aliens, there is an open gravity to trust the external world for Trump and trust the “Great Beautiful Ocean” to keep America safe. But as the events of last week in South Asia, it is easier.

gideon.rachman@ft.com



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