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IRGC Sea Navanli Martyr Hassan Bagheri Warher and an IRGC velocity ship, the Persian Gulf Day, Farsi Gulf Day, April 29, 2024, near the Bushehr Province of Bushehr, near the Bushehr Nuclear power plant.
Morteza NikoubAzl | Nurphoto | Getty pictures
Dubai, United Arab Emirates – Oil prices have been exhausted As President of the US President, on a night about geopolitical concerns Donald Trump The progress of the progress of nuclear talks and nuclear talks has a more negative tone and announced some American staff with the Middle East.
The developments are a strong turn after several rounds of US-Iran talks, which were previously described as “positive” and “positive” and “respected”.
Both Trump leadership and Iran expressed their wishes to sign a contract. For Trump, the previous Biden management will win a political and diplomatic victory. For Iran, the sanctions complained to the economy were very efficient.
Now it seems increasingly difficult.
“They will be a dangerous place, and we will have a dangerous place. … On Wednesday.
Speaking about a podcast with the New York post, Trump, Trump, “I’m a delay”, “I’m less sure that there will be a few months ago,” Trump said.
At the same time, Tehran did not seriously not seriously noticed in the engagement of Washington and to enrich uranium uranium for its rich purposes.
Risk of conflict
Trump warned that the United States or Israel targeted Iranian nuclear facilities when the United States or Israel’s talks failed. In response, the Iranian Defense Minister expressed hope for the talks, but everything had to come to the south.
“In this case, the United States will have to leave the region, for all the basics are in our shortcomings and we will be able to target all in the host countries without hesitation.
On Thursday, IAEA Board of Directors – the UN nuclear guard – first for the first time in Iran, he first adopted a resolution in accordance with its first nuclear security obligations.
As in the Dumba, the Middle Eastern US envoy Steve Witkoff was appointed Sunday on Sunday on Sunday, Sunday, Sunday on Sunday.
Despite the ongoing talks, Israel Given the military action According to the sources quoted by NBC News, against Iran in the coming days.
The potential impact of the military conflict between Israel and Iran is called a country with about four million people in Iraq, both for global markets, political scientists and economists.
However, more than one analytical military confrontation talking to CNBC is still likely to be prevented – so far. Some are part of the pre-pressure of the upcoming US-Iran nuclear talks on the recent partial evacuation orders offered.
Road block No. 1
№ 1 Holdup for an agreement? Enrichment of local uranium in Iran – or build a bomb in Iran that can be used to create nuclear energy for peaceful purposes.
First of all, after the fact that Urania has flexible to Iran, which can enrich its lower levels for nuclear electricity production, Trump has changed the melody by saying that something other than zero enrichment in the country is unacceptable.
This is a difficult deal for Tehran that requires the right to a civilian nuclear power program. Iran protects this in 1970 and is not a nuclear non-distribution agreement or NPT that allows insufficient weapons states to build peaceful nuclear energy programs.
However, the concerns are more than Iran’s true intentions. 2015 The Iranian nuclear transaction called the Iranian nuclear transaction officially a comprehensive comprehensive action plan, or JCPoa, Iran is enough to provide 300 kilograms enriched uranium and civilian nuclear energy program.
However, Iran’s uranium enrichment, according to IAEA, 60% reached a sharp higher level of technical steps from the level of purity. “A country that enriched 60% is a very serious thing. Only bombing countries reach this level“The head of the IAEA Rafael Grossi said in 2021.
Potential to compromise?
Despite the Trump-A, who said that all of the Iranian domestic enrichment represents the red line, a number of “compromises” for Tehran was upset.
These include an offer to include a regional nuclear consortium, which allows Iran to enrich uranium low levels in the future in the future and will not see the zero and nuclear facilities in the future.
However, the US proposal is a series of opinions than a concrete plan and is not developed at the moment, “Azerbaijan and energy analyst in the Eurasian group, Gregory Brew, a great Iranian and energy analyst.
“Although Iran is allowed to be rich in the interim market, it will not accept the eternal regulation that will not protect this right.”
A picture taken on November 10, 2019, shows the Iranian flag at the Iranian Bushehr nuclear power plant, began working on the second reactor in the enterprise during a ceremony.
Atta Kenare | Through AFP Getty Images
In addition, the Iranians were very irritated because the United States is not serious with the relief of sanctions, “he said. “They want clarity on this issue; Of course, Iranians are interested in an agreement that brings the relief of sanctions for the economy.”
According to Trita Parsi, Trita Parsi, according to the vice president of the attacking statecraft, if Iran’s assets significantly aggravated the US assets in this region, Trita Parsi, Deputy Executive Deputy Executive Vice President.
This is a big part, because Iran’s missiles were “actually very effective in October last October,” CNBC told CNBC’s CNBC’s Access or East.
“If there is a confrontation and if Iranians are related to threats to target American bases, they intend to become very destructive confrontation.”
“And the supporters of Trump from its base are very concerned that it will endanger the entire presidency, and there is a diplomatic deal in reality.”
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