Yes, it ended, finally. However, most investors took longer than they had predicted.
President Trump finally stated that the trade war will be enough Mayhem and ready to control some losses. Trump, so far increased the average import tax worth about 3 trillion by 27% to 27% to 27%. He also threatened because the Federal Reserve Seat Jerome Powell’s loss was caused by the damage.
Markets responded with steep losses in stock values. Investors have sold US assets in favor of gold or foreign currencies and voted against Trump against the American facade. Interest rate actions show that investors are preparing for higher inflation. Economists, in some cases, in some cases raise their main scenario to contraction.
Well, negative market reactions finally reached the Trump.
On April 17, Trump, Powell’s “Termination cannot be sufficient” in the post of social media said that he stops another market. But five days later, Trump told journalists: “I have no intention to fire“Powell. The markets jumped.
Trump and his team also signaled that in some cases so severe that it is effective in imported goods. Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, both recently said Trump’s Draconian 145% of the tax on Chinese imports is very high and need to go down. There may be new tariffs Half of this level. Another Trump Aides said that there are many trading deals in the work that brought high tariffs in exchange for trade-partnership concessions.
Read more: Latest news and updates about Trump’s tariffs
The purpose of the Trump’s goal is to convince the markets – finally – it works. Shares increased on April 23 as the Shares signaled in Trump in Trump in Trump. Interest rates were immersed and the Vix variable index decreased. A rally, all the damage corrects all the damage caused by Trump’s trade wars, but if these trends continue, it returns to normal markets of protectionism.
Meanwhile, Trump has caused how much damage caused to endure (on behalf of ordinary Americans) before making their discount. Four measures tell the story.
Economists say the stock market is not a real economy, but is a guess with the title of future economy. Trump’s tariffs have fallen, because the Trump’s tariffs are higher, low growth and less recruitment by less expenditures and more by consumers. If these trends are bad enough, a recession would be triggered.
On Betting site polymarketThe spring of the decline of the United States was higher than 20% in the beginning of the year. At that time, he fell about 53%. Bet bets are not predicted by economists. It is estimates of people who just want to make money for a conclusion. However, many economists now put the betting in the United States, 50%, less or less in accordance with painful calculations.
When Trump began to take office in January, no recession. The weakening economy is entirely related to Trump tariffs, and a few months ago, a healthy economy was very quickly darkened. The ratio of 50% or higher recession was the attention of Trump.
Read more: What is a recession and how does it affect you?
Trump is difficult to believe that the exchange does not care about the decline, but the businessman is ready to be a boy who tank the market for a long time. S & P 500 (^ GSPC) In 2024, President Biden increased by 23%. Trump, on the contrary, the president has been downer. Trump’s 23 April Trading War Before Backpedaling, S & P fell 12% for the year. This year decreases to the largest top
The Sarkging Exchange, Trump’s Promise of Trump in America, represented a lot of investors. When the shares do not want to be tagged with a 10% adjustment and the 20% bear market decreased, he probably took ants. So far, Trump, the month of the bear market fled a narrow way.
Treasury Secretary Bessent said that Trump is aimed at reducing long-term interest rates aimed at 10 years of 10 years of treasury bonds. But this does not pass the Trump’s way. Stock sales generally bring interest rates because investors selling risky reserves generally keep their money in safer. The bonds are more powerful demand, issuers, while involving buyers, so the risk of investors is reduced at the risk of Shun.
Trump caused an unusual situation where investors sell US shares and bonds at the same time, that is, as they did not fall as normal as the prices do not fall normally during line. The rates gradually decreased in the first three months of 2025, the markets have yet to normal. However, when Trump announces large arms tariffs in early April, and share sales were accelerated, and the rates were rose when it was landed.
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A half percentage point in a week of 10 years of treasurism is a dramatic action in a normal spotted asset. Trump would probably like to see a 10-year rate of 10 years to associate with mortgage rates with approximately 6.5% or lower. He does not buy this again for his policies.
Trump supposedly, because it loves a weaker dollar, because it is more affordable to foreign buyers. However, a weak dollar is decreasing. This is more expensive to import Americans. If the United States is weakening the US assets, the dollar can bring higher interest rates for Americans and even triggers the sovereign debt crisis if investors stop purchasing the US treasury debt.
From April 21, the dollar fell 9.4% compared to a basket of foreign currency since the beginning of the year. TRUMP pulled back a little back from discussing the trade war. Trump can discover that a dollar gradually weakened, but not a greenback.
None of this, Trump trading battles are over or Trump suddenly is the best friend of the market. If Trump reduces Chinese tariff to half, for example, for example, it will still be 70% in the sky. This still envisages higher prices or expensive work for enterprises that are purchased by them.
Finally we learn Trump’s economic pain points, but it may still be concerned.
Rick is a high corneler for Newman Yahoo Finance. Follow him Bluesky and X: @rickjnewman.
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