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The threat of increasing tariff rates on US imports can demolish the economic trajectory of countries such as Vietnam.
Firms increased to Vietnam in the companies seeking ways to manage the risks of production in China. Vietnam, according to the net foreign investment received about $ 18.5 billion. World Bank Notes He returns in 1970.
President Donald Trump’s “mutual” tariff rate of 46% of the goods brought to the United States from Vietnam to the April 9th April. Then, restore tariff rates to 10% in the products of countries from countries such as Vietnam. Countries subject to higher fares are less than 90 days Discuss better trading conditions With a white house.
“Vietnam is very sensitive,” said Tuan Chu, a contact software manager in RMIT University Vietnamese.
Vietnam’s potential magnificent tariff rates, partly US trading surplus, according to Cullen Hendrix, the President of the Peterson International Economy Institute, partially US trading surplus. Vietnam’s trade surplus was about $ 123.5 billion in 2024 and $ 39.5 billion in 2018according to the census bureau.
Part of Vietnam’s rising exports to the United States can be reconstructed Chinese products to avoid higher tariff rates. Proof of this comes from trade information According to a research document from Harvard Business, the United States-China Trade War has increased and collected since 2018.
Edmund Malesky, one of the authors of a Duke University, one of the authors of the political science and Harvard document, 84% of the growth of Vietnam’s production activities is 84% of additional production production. “But there is a smaller part, perhaps 16%, depending on how you measure it, it is worried about the United States, which is re-size,” Malesky said.
Firms can change international supply chains, if the US imports exceed higher tariff rates.
“This is a kind of global whack-a-mole part of a game,” Hendrix said.