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The new alliances with the risk of Sudan’s civil war says analysts that sparked a regional conflict based on neighboring South Sudan.
The biggest development was one Union in February Among the Sudanese people’s freedom movement-north (SPLM) and various rapid support forces (RSF) established a government for the current Facto leadership of the opponent.
RSF is in a war since April 2023 and tries to increase the control and influence of the Central and East Sudan to expand the operating theater.
SPLM-n, Obdel Aziz Al-Hilu’s decades of decades and South Kordophane and blue Nile are an armed act that controls the plots of blue Nile on the border with South Sudan.
Analysts, Sudan Army’s SPLM-n SPLM-N and RSFs supported the Sudanese army to fight RSF along the border.
South Sudan is already engaged in its political crisis, which can turn the country into a comprehensive civil war.
“If the work in South Sudan will be very difficult to separate the war in Sudan from the war in Sudan,” Boswell, “Boswell” Boswell, Sudan and Sudan Specialist for the International Crisis Group.
Strategic alliance
SPLM has been criticized for Allying with RSF accused of committing numerous savagery by the United Nations and other observers.
Ali-Hilu chose the alliance because he no longer be able to stay neutral, he is already a director of the expert and interview consisting of Sudan, Kholood Khair.
“Abdel Aziz will be neighborhood of RSF in the near future (near the South Cordofant state) and the army and RSF cannot fight at the same time,” he said.
On March 23, RSF seized the Western Cordofan State, a South Cordofan Border
Southern Kordophani also shares borders with North Kordophane and White Nile. The latter, including a basic strategic point to reach Central Sudan, including the country’s recent country’s recently, the country’s recent country’s breadfinity situation.
The blue Nile state is also a strategic point for sharing an international border with Ethiopia.
Partnership with SPLM, a larger Operations Theater and new attacks and new attacks against the army and citizens, Boswell said to supply RSF South Sudan and Ethiopia.
“He spared all the bridges (in Khartoum) (to the western region of Darfur), west of RSF (towards Darfur’s Western region),” he said.
“However, RSF can go back and forth and forward from South Cordofa (South Sudan), and if the blue nil and Ethiopia will make a great danger and make a big threat, and the storage strategy is more difficult,” he said.
War by lawyer
During the second northern-South African war of Sudan, in 1983-2005, before South Sudan was independent, Khartoum, the main group to release the fan of Khartoum, the Khartoum Azadlig Sport (SPLM) was demolished. For this, he supported the southern militia against it.
The war ended with a peace agreement, which gives South Karia’s right to vote in the referendum of independence, and in 2011, South Sudan became the world’s newest country.
SPLM, which grows from SPLM, shares the history of the South Sudanese elite to fight the water army.
During the Civil War, South Kordophane and Blue Nilin Nuba Tribes “Hafez Muhammadin” Hafez Muhammaddin and Human Rights Group of Justice Group of Justice Group said the Group of Justice Group.
In 1987, the government began to call the Arabs, “Arabs” began to call “Arabs”, and “Arabs” fought against the sympathetic farmers.
Over the years, this divisible and conquered approach will be a modus operand of the army to fight the rebellion in the country, and in the early 2000s, it will be the most famous for how much RSF will be.
President Omar al-Bashir arrived in the government in 1989, formed in power, formed by the Popular Defense Forces (PDF) – then mobilized a vehicle for political and military service for the Solid Islamic Front Party.
The Arab PDF forces became famous for firing all villages and summarize murders.
Terrible abuse, enriching national elites, often competes in local competition for agriculture, which supports an aggressive state that supports local communities for industrial agriculture.
Guilty with branch
After South Sudan, Nuba was left behind.
According to the peace agreement, the peace agreement, the blue Nile and South Cordofan Nuba would deal with non-ordinary “popular consultations” with the Central Government to solve the root reasons for the conflict.
However, consultations have never been annoyed due to the lack of political will from Khartham and Nuba fighters.
The first combines control of the water from the power of the water. The last, rebranded SPRM, South Sudan President Salva Kiir continued their rebellion with limited political and materialist assistance Report with a small weapon request From March 2013, from March.
This historic relations, Bosdan, Sudan’s army head Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, Kiir’s silently supported the RSF and SPLM’s Alliance, he said.
“Kiir is always close to SPLM,” he said. “And (South Sudan) is responsible for something.
Kiir may be surprised to have his ex-friends partnership with RSF. In 2015, the army sent RSF to RSF to fight with the warriors of Al-Hilu.
However, RSF suffered from a degrading defeat because the Darfur’s green mountains are used to fight in the Darfur desert than the green mountains.
The origin of the RSF date returned to the first Darfur war in 2003 and was recruited by the army to be represented by the Arab tribal militia, the indifference of the state and the state of the state.
“Arab” militia, summary murders and countless atrocities such as systematic aggression, “Janjaweed”, “Janjaweed”, means “rider devils” in Sudanese melting.
In 2013, Al-Bashir, Janjaweed Janjaweed was not only Darfur, not only Darfur, but to the country’s regime and counterclosures.
He knew that RSF would rebel against the army years.
Divide again and rule again?
Already the army seems to activate other old lawyers in South Sudan to reflect a new partnership.
South Sudan and a number of candidates of the loyal and a number of militia candidates are divided freely among the regular forces between a militia and Majar.
Kiir, Dinka is a nuer with the largest ethnic group in South Sudan, and Machar is the second largest tribe.
Their competition returns to the civil war before the independence Machar receives help from the government of Khartoum Then fight the SPLM in trying to overthrow the leader John Garang.
In July 2005, he ended in the war seven months later, Garang died in one helicopter crash. His deputy Kiir, quickly supports SPLM control.
Two years after South Sudan independence in 2013, the power struggle between Machar and Kiir landed in the civil war.
Most Nuer Forces associate with the opposition (SPLM-IO) to distinguish between the Kiir SPLM compared to Machar, Machar.
Suspicious violence has led to 400,000 people from the martyr’s power sharing agreement after five years.
Violence, Juba and Peace Deal in the capital of South Sudan, the atrocities continued in the perutics due to the practice of the government Emerging corruption, local militias and resources, According to Joshua Craze, an independent specialist about South Sudan and Sudan.
He added that the current war of Sudan is poured into conflict-riding periphers in South Sudan, and this month, it appeals to conflicts between some SPA-IO commanders and RSF. RSF and SPLM are available along the border shared with South Cordofant, with the Union of South Sudan and the Upper Night.
Some clashes with RSF have been reported by a SPL-IO armed group in Upper Nile. More battles were reported to be in the blue Nile state of the water.
“(Sudan’s army) wants to disrupt its actions throughout the RSF’s actions (South Sudan) … Some SPLM-IO commanders,” Craze al said.
Al Jazeera, Sudan Army spokesman Nabil Abdullah sent written questions. Did not respond with the time of the publication.
Integrated conflict?
On Thursday, KIIR placed security forces under house arrest, now a movement approaching the threshold war of South Sudan.
Kiir accuses Machar who supports Nuer community militia, which fights with government forces this month.
However, Craze, Machar added that they are no orders on these militia and they have responded to the government’s predators and pressurized behavior in the regions.
“Our rings are very concerned and dangerous. We face the overall split of South Sudan,” said Craze Al Jazeera.
If this forecast is true, many young South Sudan men can fight in Sudan, Boswell, groups supported by Boswell, the army and RSFs can now be hired.
He warned that if South Sudan returns to the civil war, RSF will probably benefit.
“I think it follows the interests of a collapse (Sudan Army) in Juba,” he said. “Although the army thinks that the Yuba was helping RSF, the collapse of South Sudan will give a greater operating theater to another RSF.”
