What could be in 2025 in 2025 after 2023 and 2024?


After 12 months in a row, the temperature above 1850-1900 has fallen above 1.5 c, the ground temperature – Thank you until the end of a natural era.

Berkeley Earth was a non-profit climate analysis organization, global average temperature 1.33 c above the industry before industry In May and the European Copernicus Climate Change Service (CCCS) found The monthly average was 1.40 c average before the industry. (The world’s climate institutions use different methods to analyze global temperatures, so the difference).

Although it seems like this good news, in 2025, Berkeley is above the road to be one of the three hottest hottest years, according to Zeye Hausfather.

“At this point with El Niño, he intends to set a new record in 2025, but still the best of a new record is the best, and this is the first three hottest years,” he said.

In an area of ​​the Pacific, natural, cycliking in a region combined with the atmosphere can lead to an increase in global temperature, and then began to take into account the highest temperature in mid-2023 Stopped climate scientists.

What is particularly interesting about May, the soil surface temperature has previously decreased compared to months. However, after 2024, he was still the second hottest in the record.

Hausfather said that the sharp enemy was highly holding the area of ​​the land surface, and perhaps there may be some “internal variability” that maybe the end of this variability last month.

When we wait in terms of 2025, when we see that we can remember our expectations in terms of 2025, when I see the largest temperature anomalies, he said he saw the greatest anomalies in winter. Thus, 2025 can be higher than we do now.

1.5 C on the way to warm up

The end of El Niño, but the ocean temperature was reduced after the record heights. In May, according to Berkeley Earth, the average ocean temperature was above 0.99 c average of 1850-1900.

“Currently, the CARLO Buontempo, which is currently seeing or only in the northern Atlantic,” said Carlo Buontempo Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S).

“(Ocean temperature), more refrigerators than last year and previous year, but are hotter than the celebration. Thus, we see half or half of the glass or half of the glass or half of the glass.”

Although the Earth hit 1.5 c averaged 1.5 c, this will have to take place in a longer period of time, it will take place in a longer period of time in the Paris Agreement. The climate is typically for a long time 20 or 30 years of extending.

The carbon budget has been exhausted

But A study published on Wednesday Earth System System Information magazine, if the waste continues in 2024 – we have only three years of our carbon budget until we work to warm the 1,5 c below.

“Record-high greenhouse gas wastes are rapidly narrowing rapidly to restricting the warming up to 1.5 c,” The Center for Climate London and Environmental Policy, Emperor College London and Report co-author, said in a statement.

“The window of 1.5 ° C closes rapidly. Global warming affects the lives of billions of people in the world.”

Despite the violation of this Escape, as climate scientists emphasize this Each of which is a degree important.

To warm up from 2 C – The eve of the PART of the United Nations, which is initially determined by the Paris Agreement, such as the Antonio guts, CO2 emissions should be a concert constantly stressed.

Buontempo hopes that the tools we get today will help us to deal with the results of increasing temperatures.

“I’m optimistic. I have always been an optimistic and my sense is that there are many positive in this terrible situation, including our planet, so much about our planet.”

“Now we did not have such knowledge and tools to model the results of what happened. To say, the decision is ours?”



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