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What to expect from the Icebreaker trade talks in the United States and China


US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Switzerland President Karin Keller-Sutter, Switzerland and the United States in Geneva, in Geneva, May 9, 2025, Pmelin.

Battle Trezzini | Through Reuters

The stakes are high The Icebreaker trade of the United States and China This weekend and the result can restore the future of economic relations between the world’s two largest economies.

The US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer is scheduled to meet with the Chinese leadership and vice premiere in Switzerland.

Analysts say it is impossible for a comprehensive transaction that it is impossible for a single meeting, but they hope that the partial return of the sky’s high tariffs will be on the table.

Both sides, as the economically increase in tariffs increased, was looking for a way to escalation.

US economy 0.3% contract in the first quarter Concerns that will be the economy this year decline with higher inflation and unemployment. When the Chinese economy grew 5.4% of better than unexpected This year, in the first three months, large banks reduced about 4% of the country to about 4% to about 4%.

Trump, the Chinese political system said the country’s leadership was the “higher pain limit” and “a higher controlling rate on macro policy support”, “Azer Risks” is the director of Azer Risk Consulting Company “AzerEducation.

The main mission of the Prime Minister is simply looking for clarity to express whether Trump has intended and the United States intends to hurt China’s interests.

During the bilateral meeting between Chinese Vice Premiere, Lifeng and Switzerland Karin Keller-Sutter, Switzerland and China, the US-China trade talks, Geneva, Switzerland in May 9, 2025, Switzerland, 2025

FDFA / Keystone / Martial Trezzini | Through Reuters

It turned out that a confidence in front of the meeting, China announced trade information 8.1% in April 8.1% over the years of 8.1%, 8.1% behind the transportation of the southeast Asian peoples, the Asian peoples went behind a jump

And Friday’s China’s Ministry of Trade “Special Operation” To fight strategic minerals, including Galrium, Germanium, Antimon, Tungsten and Medium and Heavy Rare Lands.

Without naming special institutions, the ministry raid the operation as “raid against foreign businesses who repented with the internal illegal staff” Export control rules Grew up earlier this year.

“This is a useful role of negotiations for the continuation of China in Geneva,” said the southeastern Asian Research Institute of Studies and former trade talks

The Chinese is the world The largest manufacturer of several critical minerals It is very important to give semiconductors, defense equipment and clean energy. Last month, Trump’s tariffs revealed that China was in vengeance Increased export control of metals.

Both China and the United States are easlighting at the moment, Michelle Caruso-Cabrera says

“The sharp arrow in his movement in China can be limited access to critical minerals that cannot be achieved elsewhere,” Olson said.

High on Washington’s agenda Removing export restrictions in China in rare It is used to prepare magnets, Bloomberg reported on Friday, referring to people familiar with the issue.

Another potential for Trump is a large holding of US treasures that can cause risk to China’s financial market stability, this is the director of the American Research Center Vu Xinbo at Fudan University.

Beijing, if he wanted to turn the heat in Trump, US government debt is likely to grow about $ 800 billion in exchange for the exchange.

An important sale can be removed from China’s treasury holdings and an important sale to retract in tariffs. Such a movement may strengthen the yu, and violates China’s export competitiveness and causes a substantial loss on dollar-denominative assets.

What to expect

The US Secretary-General of Scott Bessent and US trade representative Jamieson Greer, Switzerland and the United States participates in the bilateral meeting between Switzerland and the United States, on May 9, 2025.

Battle Trezzini | Through Reuters

On the other hand, Chinese officials repeated the country’s demand for the country’s Trump leadership to cancel all unilateral tariffs in China.

The press secretary of the Ministry of Commerce on Wednesday, “China will not engage in the principle to agree with us.”

Thorough deals

During the upcoming talks, China can still offer a few “sweetener” such as promising to promise to promise to promise to prevent fentanil flows.

Both sides, including consumer electronics, semiconductors and car parts, including a number of goods, including the tariffs for a number of goods, and the tariffs, and the tariffs, the tariffs were observed.

Chinese It was reported to have something Import duties in the selected pharmaceutical, micro-ago and aircraft engines in the United States. Reuters also created a “white lists” to be released from the United States.

However, attempts to achieve a more comprehensive bargaining similar Trump’s first contract was signedProbably, “long and not productive,” said Xu, as they showed a little appetite to compromise on the appropriate strategic priorities and economic red lines.

Trade Sek. Howard Lutnick: We will release dozens of trade deals in the next month

“We doubt that the United States and China have reached something close to a trade agreement with a trade agreement that reached a trade agreement in the eyes of high-ranking US officials, which has reached something close to a trade agreement.” He added.

There was Chinese It was claimed to claim Conditions under A trade contract of faze This Trump claims that during the first presidential period, the United States has violated certain mandates in the contract.

Deal is required to ensure China purchases US goods from two years to $ 200 billion did not meet the goals As the COVID-19 hit the pandemic.

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