Where is the beef? As if American herds shrink, hamburger inflation works at 12%

And experts say the consumers do not expect much to expect much.

In June, a weight loss beef rose to $ 6.12, and the United States increased by 12% a year ago. The average price of all mixed beef steaks increased by 8% to $ 11.49 per pound.

But this is not a last event. Beef prices have risen in the last 20 years, because the supply of cattle is tight when beef is popular.

In fact, the US cattle flock is constantly shrinking for decades. From January 1, 86.7 million livestoes and calves from the United States, 8% lower than the latest summit of 2019, the United States was reported.

Many factors, including drought and cattle prices, contributed to this landing. Now the emergence and perspective of a frustrating parasite in Mexico Widespread tariffs can further reduce the supply and increase prices.

A look that causes an increase in beef price.

Small herds

The American beef industry has better resulted in the cultivation of larger animals, so ranchers can provide the same amount of beef with fewer beef.

Then, in 2020, according to the American Bureau, the three-year drought began to drain pastures and raised food for cattle. Drought has continued to be a problem in the West since then, and the price of the feed has put more pressure on ranchers that are already in the threshold profit.

In response, many farmers cut more women cattle than usual, which has helped them supply beef in a short time, but reduced the size of the future. Low-livestock prices have increased.

In recent years, cattle prices have increased, and now animals sell for thousands of dollars fruit. The latest prices show cattle selling more than $ 230 per hundred kilos or hundred pounds.

He said that higher prices ranchers have reduced the price of these calves and Anderson’s decreases to take them to take them more to make them more promoting to sell cows to sell cows.

“Balance for them, ‘I’m selling that animal now and get this record high check?’ Or ‘I keep it to realize that when it comes to his productive life?’ “Anderson said. “And therefore this is the act of balancing and so far the winning side is to sell it and get checks.”

Dilemma

The formation of the pest in Mexico in the herd of cattle in Mexico is attaching addition to the supply of pest, as the officials cut the cattle imports from the south of the border last year. 4% of the cattle, where the United States is cut for beef comes from Mexico.

Pest new world screwrubhorm flies and female cows lay eggs in hot blooded animals. The larvaes between the hatches among the flyers to feed on live meat and fluids instead of dead material are unusual. If American officials reach the fly Texas, magnets eating meat can lead to as great economic losses without eliminating the US pest.

Agricultural Economist Bernt Nelson, the loss of such livestock with the farm bureau, the loss of such livestock and driving prices are higher than added addition.

Tariff problem

President Donald Trump’s tariffs should still have a huge impact on beef prices, but the prices can be another factor higher than 4 million pounds of beef each year.

Most of what is imported, meat bags, local consumers are the ornework of the lean beef mixed with Fattier beef produced in the United States to produce the type of beef. These lean beef saw only 10% of Australia and New Zealand, but some of them come from Brazil, which threatens up to 50% of Trump tariffs.

If you have Tariffs remain in long-term placesMeat processors will have to pay a higher price on imported lean beef. It will not be easy to replace US producers because the country’s system is directed to the production of Fattier Beef known for marble steaks.

Prices will remain very high

This remains strong in the height of grilling season and the United States, which remains strong in the United States, which will help the Kansas State Agricultural Economist Glynn Tonor’s prices will help to be higher.

If the prices remain high, buyers will start to buy more hamburger meat and less steak, but it still doesn’t get chicken or pork instead of happening or beef.

Nelson recently said that the drought facilitates the drought – grain prices reduced to reduce grain prices for grain prices due to tariffs. These factors, combined with high cattle prices, can convince more ranchers to zoom in to maintain their cows and expand their flocks.

Although Ranchers decided to bring up more cattle to help change this import, it will take at least two years to bring up and enlarge. When the ranchers usually make these decisions, this drop will not be clear if it falls in this fall.

“It still has a lot of obstacle to grow the flock,” Nelson said. Just think that a young farmer who wants to add 25 grains of the flock should be ready to spend more than $ 100,000 at auction at a time when debt costs are high.

In the graving season, the frying season decreases in the grilling season, because the frying season decreases, but this price decrease is likely to be humble.

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Associated Press writer Dee-Ann Durbin, contributed to this report from Detroit.