Why Trump struggles to gain a ceasefire rapidly in Ukraine

Donald Trump, in September last year, President Zelensky, then candidate for the US president, tied the confidence that the war will end early in Ukraine. “If we win, I think we will solve it very quickly,” he said.

How quickly changed over time. A few days ago in a TV discussion, Trump promised “settled before being president.” This was a escalation compared to previous obligations to stop the fight in the first 24 hours of the presidency in May 2023.

Trump was now in the office for more than two months and the penny can begin to fall in a white house trying to finish the conflict as bitter and ink.

In a television interview last weekend, the US President acknowledged that he promised to end the war in one day, he was “a little kincastic.”

There are many reasons for slow progress than Team Trump.

First, the confidence of the president’s personal, private diplomacy can be mistaken. If he sat on another leader and agreed, any international problem was believed to be solved. Trump First, Vladimir Putin spoke on February 12an hour-and-a-half conversation described as “high productive”. Two leaders He spoke again on March 18.

However, it is clear that this phone calls cannot provide a 30-day temporary ceasefire trump. The only main concession of Putin’s compromise, Ukrainian energy facilities and an obligation accused of Ukraine and made a promise During the rich hours.

Second, the Russian president said he was not going to hurry. The first public opinions about the talks came at a press conference in a press conference after telephone calls with Trump last week.

Putin, before talking about a longer-term solution, showed the two-stage strategy seeking the temporary ceasefire. Instead, there is a threat to Russia’s security in a way that any talks are “root causes of war”, that is, a sovereign state of the NATO Union and Ukraine. He also created detailed questions and conditions that should be answered and answered before agreeing to any agreement.

Third, the strategy of directing the US initial attention to Ukraine may be wrong. The White House came to believe that President Zelenski was inhibited peace. Western diplomats were slow to understand how much the Ukrainian government changed the world’s Trump.

However, when the US thinking of Kiev’s thinking, the pressure in the Oval’s office, Trump and his vice president JD Vice, Ukraine, effort and political capital.

He also accepted the other diplomatic problem that needed Europe and the United States in contradictions. Vladimir Putin sat back all the time and enjoyed the show by saving his time.

Fourth, the transparent complexity of the conflict complicates any resolution. The proposal of Ukraine was first in the air and in the sea. The idea was that it would be relatively simple to watch.

However, in Jeddah’s last week’s talks, the insistence of the US immediate ceasefire should be more than 1,200 km to the east. He immediately made the logistics to check the more complexity of any ceasefire. This, of course, was rejected by Putin.

However, the consent of even a more modest proposal – the end of the attacks on the energy infrastructure – not without problems. The details of this proposal to hold the most technical talks will be held in Saudi Arabia are detailed on Monday. Military and energy experts may not be protected by the detailed lists of potential power plants – nuclear or otherwise.

They will also try to agree on which weapon systems are not used. However, to satisfy the difference between energy and other civil infrastructure may take a while. Remember: Ukraine and Russia are not talking about each other; Among the two parties are individually and bilaterally engaged in the United States, which are promising for the service. This adds to time again.

Fifth, the US is aimed at the economic benefits of the ceasefire and distracted the priority of the end of the battles. Trump, US companies tried to agree on a framework agreement that allows Ukrainian critical minerals. Some saw this as the United States invested in the future of Ukraine as others are in the natural resources of the country.

President Zelensky first claimed that the United States promised to prevent Ukraine’s security guarantees to prevent the future Russian aggression. The White House said that the presence of US mining companies and employees will be quite steady. Finally, Zelensky confessed to defeat and said he would agree with a mineral agreement without security guarantees. However, the United States has not yet signed the agreement to sign the terms again to improve the terms or even ownership of Ukrainian nuclear power plants.

The finite wars may be complex and time consuming. We would not go to this stage without the push of Trump, but it was not as fast or simpler as progress. In December 2018, as he encouraged to the presidency, Volodymyr Zelensky offered talks with Vladimir Putin. “You have to talk in a very simple way” He told the Ukrainian journalist, Dmytro Gordona. ‘What do you want, what are your conditions? ” And I would say to them: ‘Here are our points.’ We would agree in one place in the middle. “

Well, about the proof of the last two months, it can be difficult.