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On April 28, 2025, they walk in Trafalgar Square in London.
Adrien Fillon | Nurphoto | Getty pictures
In 2025, it became a string of positive economic news to get out of the UK – but this week, especially gave three reasons to be optimistic.
Data on Friday has signed an unexpected positive momentum in the country’s economy with retail 1.2% of increasing in a better way in AprilAnd the consumer confidence index of the GFK shows the improvement of feelings.
Sterling earned 0.6% compared to US dollars after the figures were published on Friday, for about $ 1.35.
The combination of two positive figures on Friday collected recommendations for expectations and logic for some economists. In April, economic activity was expected to be partially decreased thanks to the Global Trade War of the US President Donald Trump.
“Now it makes it difficult to make a careful consumer.”
“He said that official sales growth seems very good to be true, it is likely that seasonal regulation is not adequate for the next Easter this year,” he said. “There is no doubt that the weather is not helpful, and has noted the most sunshine since the beginning of the notes in March and April.”
Isolation, retail figures and consumer confidence information perhaps to grow in the current quarter. However, the British Electric Regulator has been added to positive feelings by announcing by declaring on Friday. In the coming months, potential fuel can spend potential fuel in other sectors.
“This is a development for household expenditures, for household costs, which are likely to fall to £ 11 per month,” he said.
Meanwhile, the string of positive elements can potentially grow the UK economic growth in the second quarter in the second quarter.
“The ratio of the house is so high, there is a potential to improve confidence, the more potential for consumption costs,” JP Morgan’s Moks said in a note on Friday. “High inflation, softer wage growth and weak employment controvers against the continuation of this trend. However, in May, the increase in trust, fears, inflation expectations, inflation expectations and increased costs.”
The outlook for the UK seesawed in the last year. Faced failures as country Unexpected economic shrinkage and a contract on financial spending plans, more positive information and remarkable trade deals USA, India and Me.
At the beginning of this week, official figures showed the economy In the first quarter of 2025 increased by 0.7% – Although it comes like this Inflation up to 3.5% in April. Last week, the other Data printing The UK showed average earnings, increased by 5.9% on the annual basis.
Data mixture is divided on Friday on the latest battle of information intended for the latest economist economists.
In Capital Economics, the British Economist Alex Kerry, “The Sun (Britain) warned that the retail sales sector will shine forever.”
“For the first time since 2015, outside the pandemic, the volume of retail sales rose in four months, an increase of 1.2% m / m in April, was not in the note that the numbers were sent shortly after the publication of digits.
“It will not give a boost. Thus, if the consumer confidence is slightly small in May, we suspect the retail increase will be slow in the coming months.”
‘Depression’ brits addresses retail therapy
Most economists suggested that consumers’ confidence in May, as a positive signal for the economic growth of the next quarter, as soon as possible in pandemic levels, the connection between spending and feelings.
“British economists have applied for the retail therapy to cope with economic and financial woes.”
Instead, the integrity of the desire, pandemic and the subsequent inflation and the interest rate lifted the finances of growing consumers to the shore.
“Households have increased the degree of savings (share incomes) to a previously unprecedented level at the beginning of the mass unemployment period,” he said.
By stabilizing the bank’s remains and reliable salary rises, according to the economist, consumers are now expected to have a more stable interest rate and price environment.
The meter means more expenses, the Bank’s bank will be more than the rates for the rest of the year and more.
Janet Mui, head of market analysis in RBC Brewin Dolphin, said that in an email on Friday morning, increasing inflation, the UK households are more generously. At the same time, he stated that the state’s state funding was “restricted.”
“More taxes can be reduced by higher debt costs and department costs can be reduced,” he said. “This creates some medium-term growth risks for England within the uncertainty in the continuing uncertainty with the solution of the global trade situation.”
